TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
BetBoom Teamof Team Liquid, BetBoom Team
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$383,898
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$435,382

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $383,898 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 273 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe16d…5e30backed BetBoom Team54c43,313$23,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,977.111,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x913c…39b3backed BetBoom Team51c32,575$16,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,109.7171454.5%389 W · 325 L+55.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked BetBoom Team55c26,505$14,578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,927.4628748.8%140 W · 147 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8551…83f6backed Team Liquid47c15,996$7,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,480.79728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x05a7…42e6backed Team Liquid45c15,343$6,854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,853.8441056.8%233 W · 177 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed Team Liquid45c14,505$6,527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,527.2542650%213 W · 213 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Liquid46c11,347$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,199.6989440.3%360 W · 534 L+1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed Team Liquid39c7,608$2,949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,949.1596557.4%554 W · 411 L+49.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd4f9…f619backed Team Liquid19c7,404$1,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,433.4714751.7%76 W · 71 L+11.1wins+0.08per pick44cpaid-1.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x124e…6802backed BetBoom Team70c7,369$5,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,215.3413068.5%89 W · 41 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb35…b62abacked Team Liquid45c6,494$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,900.439343.3%170 W · 223 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Team Liquid38c5,824$2,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,212.921,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Team Liquid58c5,747$3,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,310.922,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe015…6ffdbacked Team Liquid42c4,883$2,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,050.75922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick42cpaid-38.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc0f5…3d04backed BetBoom Team71c4,651$3,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,352.7651049%250 W · 260 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d6a…1c08backed Team Liquid43c4,499$1,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,934.613450%17 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed BetBoom Team56c4,405$2,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,938.0327153.5%145 W · 126 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed Team Liquid45c4,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80069644.5%310 W · 386 L-3.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f2a…9c0abacked Team Liquid44c3,982$1,752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,752.214238.1%16 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed Team Liquid44c3,537$1,556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,556.1779959.4%475 W · 324 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x55d9…832cbacked Team Liquid44c3,500$1,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,54041944.2%185 W · 234 L-1.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d85…c436backed Team Liquid28c3,392$965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96550832.9%167 W · 341 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed Team Liquid46c3,387$1,573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,573.1447046.6%219 W · 251 L+1.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8a0…6f8bbacked BetBoom Team58c3,369$1,949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,420.016569.2%45 W · 20 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed BetBoom Team78c3,281$2,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.1620145.3%91 W · 110 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed BetBoom Team58c3,272$1,894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,377.8751751.3%265 W · 252 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Liquid48c3,225$1,554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,553.8580256%449 W · 353 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked BetBoom Team58c2,813$1,621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,192.081,20259.3%713 W · 489 L+64.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3cf5…8483backed BetBoom Team74c2,661$1,969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691.785952.5%31 W · 28 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x69bf…0c5dbacked Team Liquid36c2,581$939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$938.5836547.7%174 W · 191 L-1.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbca8…cf14backed BetBoom Team56c2,545$1,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,120.0225248.8%123 W · 129 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked BetBoom Team48c2,505$1,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,299.551,18643.2%512 W · 674 L+42.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked BetBoom Team59c2,045$1,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845.271,06657%608 W · 458 L+52.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcdf3…1bb5backed BetBoom Team59c2,027$1,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$830.9228341%116 W · 167 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7714…b814backed BetBoom Team56c2,000$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.9924153.1%128 W · 113 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf67d…c986backed Team Liquid48c1,927$921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$920.8739042.1%164 W · 226 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb53a…e694backed BetBoom Team51c1,910$971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$939.397429.7%22 W · 52 L-7.9wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-29.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed Team Liquid13c1,878$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.9935758%207 W · 150 L+26.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked BetBoom Team53c1,837$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864.7989741.5%372 W · 525 L+22.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x97fd…3313backed Team Liquid47c1,774$834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$833.5811547%54 W · 61 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bcb…b05abacked Team Liquid29c1,623$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.7138049.2%187 W · 193 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+168.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Team Liquid40c1,616$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.061,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7756…d00abacked BetBoom Team55c1,433$781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651.6625147.4%119 W · 132 L+12.3wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed BetBoom Team56c1,397$782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.5329348.5%142 W · 151 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fc9…e444backed BetBoom Team58c1,342$772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.5813228.8%38 W · 94 L-9.7wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-40%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked BetBoom Team58c1,233$712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.8813157.3%75 W · 56 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x70c1…dba0backed Team Liquid46c1,225$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.5922643.8%99 W · 127 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xca1f…ed28backed BetBoom Team58c1,189$694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.4460552.6%318 W · 287 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cd9…2a08backed BetBoom Team43c1,123$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.1252243.9%229 W · 293 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked Team Liquid45c1,115$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.8926843.7%117 W · 151 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed BetBoom Team55c1,113$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50115544.5%69 W · 86 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Liquid45c1,097$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.991,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Team Liquid50c1,094$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.1586659.6%516 W · 350 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc6f…f0f0backed BetBoom Team73c1,078$787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.17862.8%49 W · 29 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab04…a00abacked Team Liquid44c1,053$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.2537945.9%174 W · 205 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Team Liquid59c1,002$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.3796645.1%436 W · 530 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa97f…a818backed Team Liquid47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47058744%258 W · 329 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed BetBoom Team56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44049455.1%272 W · 222 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1193…d9c4backed BetBoom Team48c976.42$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.157859%46 W · 32 L+7.1wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Team Liquid36c961.6$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.1880443.9%353 W · 451 L-1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed BetBoom Team53c960.96$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.6588539.7%351 W · 534 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c9…dfeabacked Team Liquid52c940.86$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.482759.3%16 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed BetBoom Team61c930.2$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.872,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3462…de48backed Team Liquid45c911.96$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.74875%6 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+17.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xef62…cf76backed Team Liquid48c904.19$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.0143344.8%194 W · 239 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7dfd…8d75backed BetBoom Team52c901.44$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.324251.7%125 W · 117 L+21.0wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+15.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4214…db99backed Team Liquid47c871.38$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.5536343.3%157 W · 206 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c07…5feabacked BetBoom Team61c822.59$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.9417954.2%97 W · 82 L-12.6wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-8.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd56b…342dbacked BetBoom Team53c820.28$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.913850%19 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Team Liquid53c806.98$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.778328.9%24 W · 59 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-39.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Team Liquid46c800$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3681,24844.4%554 W · 694 L+17.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f1f…aa39backed BetBoom Team74c793.89$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.6945061.6%277 W · 173 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked BetBoom Team69c766.55$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.0867043.3%290 W · 380 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37bd…2a26backed BetBoom Team56c750$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3304365.1%28 W · 15 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x974f…cd80backed BetBoom Team47c714.3$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.5655147.5%262 W · 289 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d59…bdf3backed BetBoom Team57c690.21$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.7967555%371 W · 304 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x473f…9892backed Team Liquid44c689.32$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30050053%265 W · 235 L+14.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c67…d062backed BetBoom Team50c655.73$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.861,13742.3%481 W · 656 L-27.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x315f…85c6backed Team Liquid52c633.08$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.8929347.4%139 W · 154 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ea9…daefbacked BetBoom Team57c631.54$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.562352.2%12 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked Team Liquid46c600.15$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.6843049.1%211 W · 219 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fc7…62b9backed Team Liquid45c600$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27065441.9%274 W · 380 L-1.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d27…bd5abacked BetBoom Team73c593.71$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.8146872.2%338 W · 130 L+36.5wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+11.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbff7…92fbbacked BetBoom Team52c593.09$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.7127143.5%118 W · 153 L-10.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x249f…fed3backed Team Liquid51c584.95$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.5162650.5%316 W · 310 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Team Liquid51c568.12$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.2361057.9%353 W · 257 L+2.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ae1…c891backed Team Liquid44c555$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.233549.9%167 W · 168 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a95…343bbacked Team Liquid45c537.22$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.7569835.2%246 W · 452 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b12…5f8fbacked Team Liquid45c535.88$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.1529548.5%143 W · 152 L+0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed BetBoom Team62c522.99$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.0356548%271 W · 294 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30d1…6065backed BetBoom Team49c508.19$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.834440.9%18 W · 26 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe5a…13f5backed Team Liquid51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25545046.7%210 W · 240 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x500f…94bfbacked Team Liquid54c497.8$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.8113558.5%79 W · 56 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0f0…26edbacked BetBoom Team74c497.41$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.6633867.8%229 W · 109 L+16.0wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa35c…a113backed Team Liquid49c484.7$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.561745.7%282 W · 335 L-12.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x540d…c8f9backed BetBoom Team43c475.94$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.838855.2%214 W · 174 L+29.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5808…d235backed BetBoom Team55c463.69$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.6411744.4%52 W · 65 L-0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41a6…fbadbacked Team Liquid45c456.36$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.226949.3%34 W · 35 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd73e…bb87backed BetBoom Team57c455.31$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.787252.8%38 W · 34 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x930b…0223backed BetBoom Team57c449.65$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.3523459%138 W · 96 L+0.6wins0.00per pick59cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.