Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x894edaf37717d26ab7d68ef09361b36e51b9ac8b2391003905885ef81e5ecd09
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,562
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,046
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,562 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 67c | 2,767$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850.43 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Under | 65c | 2,096$1,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,362.3 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Over | 34c | 2,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310 | 453 | 38%172 W · 281 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Over | 34c | 1,176$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.99 | 960 | 48.8%468 W · 492 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2316…9819backed Over | 35c | 1,042$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.33 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…1ef1backed Over | 32c | 891.97$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.54 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced1…280ebacked Under | 66c | 726.77$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 35c | 600$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.44 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 64c | 582.98$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.7 | 1,156 | 45.1%521 W · 635 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9179…2f34backed Under | 66c | 492.2$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.85 | 371 | 61.7%229 W · 142 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…70e3backed Over | 33c | 299.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -14.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4626…6834backed Over | 36c | 250.81$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.52 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 52c | 182.02$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.03 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Under | 79c | 165.02$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.93 | 222 | 65.3%145 W · 77 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85ac…fce6backed Under | 57c | 160$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Under | 66c | 151.51$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 34c | 141$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.17 | 549 | 34.8%191 W · 358 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 36c | 132.55$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.42 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc08…5acdbacked Under | 76c | 129.43$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.94 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Over | 40c | 123.95$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.85 | 281 | 49.8%140 W · 141 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 31c | 113.82$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.85 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 34c | 111.07$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.24 | 1,464 | 43.4%636 W · 828 L | -32.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 45c | 110.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.75 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 34c | 107.34$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.4 | 253 | 42.7%108 W · 145 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 156 | 60.9%95 W · 61 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b2f…ff10backed Over | 36c | 90.31$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.8 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 46c | 81.35$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.79 | 1,606 | 17.5%281 W · 1,325 L | -245.0wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 73c | 72.88$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.24 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5819…2b4fbacked Over | 35c | 69.4$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 505 | 50.7%256 W · 249 L | +34.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x277b…31fabacked Over | 33c | 57.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 142 | 40.8%58 W · 84 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Over | 35c | 48.37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.44 | 273 | 56.8%155 W · 118 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c3…f821backed Over | 54c | 45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Over | 37c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 1,318 | 47.3%624 W · 694 L | -31.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 37c | 33.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.69 | 1,357 | 31.2%423 W · 934 L | -129.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…5badbacked Under | 67c | 29.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 122 | 61.5%75 W · 47 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e8…65dbbacked Under | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Under | 44c | 25.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 395 | 7.1%28 W · 367 L | -122.2wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 18-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 55c | 24.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffcb…d630backed Under | 66c | 22.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb862…a00dbacked Under | 76c | 21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…c297backed Over | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +21%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d89…2b45backed Under | 68c | 18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Under | 61c | 16.35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 187 | 38.5%72 W · 115 L | -13.4wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5)GIANTX won
- LoL: GIANTX vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonGIANTX won
- LoL: GIANTX vs G2 Esports - Game 1 WinnerG2 Esports won
- LoL: GIANTX vs G2 Esports - Game 2 WinnerGIANTX won
- Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.