Lol · resolved market
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca6ded701817abd3fecee2635f9ed2cfc6ba2b5b06fc594f992aa4faa69fb9c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,662
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,823
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,662 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Over | 54c | 1,200$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Under | 43c | 708.97$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.86 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ced…0feebacked Over | 57c | 680.7$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.7 | 769 | 55%423 W · 346 L | -13.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ca…8f43backed Under | 46c | 523$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.35 | 206 | 44.7%92 W · 114 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Under | 46c | 499.98$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.99 | 1,007 | 47.9%482 W · 525 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e21dbacked Over | 57c | 357.65$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.65 | 997 | 47.1%470 W · 527 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd2…648cbacked Over | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 950 | 48.5%461 W · 489 L | +26.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3776…e17abacked Under | 46c | 299.99$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 40c | 297.86$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.14 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 60c | 266.65$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.66 | 1,113 | 39%434 W · 679 L | -44.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Over | 53c | 199.99$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.99 | 626 | 49.8%312 W · 314 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0192…ba59backed Under | 47c | 147.44$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Under | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 176 | 50%88 W · 88 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fa…ac8fbacked Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 634 | 48.1%305 W · 329 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9f…0c25backed Over | 54c | 98.14$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.14 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +28.1wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Under | 41c | 88.9$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.45 | 421 | 43.9%185 W · 236 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 44c | 81.79$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.14 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Under | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Under | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Over | 57c | 58.14$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf3…d220backed Under | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x267c…5bfdbacked Under | 47c | 49.05$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.98 | 273 | 48%131 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x009c…049bbacked Under | 46c | 43.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 46c | 22.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | -21.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e1…ba1fbacked Over | 57c | 18.39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?this page
- Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5)GIANTX won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: GIANTX vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonGIANTX won
- LoL: GIANTX vs G2 Esports - Game 1 WinnerG2 Esports won
- LoL: GIANTX vs G2 Esports - Game 2 WinnerGIANTX won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.