TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Houston Dynamo vs. Austin FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,461
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,628

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,461 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe015…6ffdbacked Under64c909.12$583 inLost-$583.431735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-35.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Over33c665.95$220 inWon+$446.19425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under67c503.3$337 inLost-$337.2153040.6%215 W · 315 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over36c374.43$135 inWon+$239.853,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1010…d793backed Over36c240$85 inWon+$154.814349%70 W · 73 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under67c124.22$83 inLost-$83.2387154.6%476 W · 395 L+34.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x03c9…d8c1backed Over39c83$32 inWon+$50.872751.9%14 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over36c79.33$29 inWon+$50.7773438.1%280 W · 454 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under50c73.82$37 inLost-$37.191,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Over36c69.44$25 inWon+$44.4410338.8%40 W · 63 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over52c67.66$35 inWon+$32.4830957%176 W · 133 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x914a…9642backed Under65c24.62$16 inLost-$16520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-59.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Under69c24.24$17 inLost-$16.775350.9%27 W · 26 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+53.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under64c21.45$14 inLost-$13.731,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.