TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: FLY (-1.5) vs Dignitas (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
FlyQuestof FlyQuest, Dignitas
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$50,896
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$62,087

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,896 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe015…6ffdbacked FlyQuest50c11,972$5,964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,007.9296048.8%468 W · 492 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5286…0d47backed FlyQuest54c10,418$5,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,802.6427637.3%103 W · 173 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Dignitas47c4,687$2,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,221.131,38937.7%524 W · 865 L-45.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-22.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x974c…3269backed Dignitas51c4,412$2,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,272.271947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+77.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Dignitas49c4,000$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,959.991,30838.6%505 W · 803 L-64.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed Dignitas46c3,662$1,685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,684.526836.8%25 W · 43 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e54…511ebacked FlyQuest48c1,800$864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93640741.5%169 W · 238 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x92d0…d69bbacked Dignitas51c1,653$843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8431216.7%2 W · 10 L-5.0wins-0.41per pick58cpaid-74.5%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Dignitas46c1,650$766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76629447.6%140 W · 154 L+0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid+8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb39b…9826backed Dignitas51c1,576$804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8042744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a03…92d3backed Dignitas51c1,500$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7606647%31 W · 35 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed FlyQuest49c1,329$656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.9662451.4%321 W · 303 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90e7…ac8ebacked Dignitas51c1,078$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55014442.4%61 W · 83 L-0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid+13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee46…faa0backed Dignitas51c1,051$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.233531.4%11 W · 24 L-5.1wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-8.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc186…e96ebacked Dignitas49c1,001$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49015752.2%82 W · 75 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc581…0f24backed Dignitas47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4701838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d76…1298backed FlyQuest51c999.99$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4904845.8%22 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-19.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5a4a…3da9backed FlyQuest51c980.37$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.385464.8%35 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc397…bb3bbacked FlyQuest53c943.58$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.581,66359.5%990 W · 673 L+98.5wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed FlyQuest50c859.46$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.442,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x253e…84e4backed FlyQuest52c700$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33622746.3%105 W · 122 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed Dignitas46c647.22$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.7235443.2%153 W · 201 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed FlyQuest48c632.27$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.792,15653.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x66d9…db30backed FlyQuest51c589.22$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.22955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Dignitas52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26048847.3%231 W · 257 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb40e…7787backed FlyQuest50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25064443%277 W · 367 L-27.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe663…e9f8backed FlyQuest60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20012552.8%66 W · 59 L+10.1wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+13.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Dignitas48c457.28$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.4964749.9%323 W · 324 L-24.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d14…36fdbacked FlyQuest51c393.63$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.6314346.2%66 W · 77 L+13.0wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+46.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Dignitas51c392.13$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9442143.9%185 W · 236 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3911…30f3backed Dignitas51c389.98$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.8915953.5%85 W · 74 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Dignitas48c354.94$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.652,93844.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L-92.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98ba…4212backed FlyQuest50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15012251.6%63 W · 59 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed Dignitas53c266.16$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.061,38545.1%625 W · 760 L-12.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23d8…ad2abacked Dignitas51c255.9$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.51862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+21.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed FlyQuest49c251.52$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.791,79451.1%917 W · 877 L+50.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed FlyQuest52c228.62$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.831,59343.8%697 W · 896 L-74.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Dignitas48c223.08$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.031,04750.3%527 W · 520 L+37.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x773f…cffabacked Dignitas51c217.65$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-33.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x240a…814cbacked Dignitas49c205.23$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.5650%0 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbedb…6bc3backed Dignitas49c205.22$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.561643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-25.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc81…a635backed FlyQuest51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.081464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.19per pick45cpaid+30%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked Dignitas45c195.36$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.9129738.7%115 W · 182 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1d9…5333backed FlyQuest52c192.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.558559.7%349 W · 236 L+28.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f45…e6a7backed FlyQuest55c181.81$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.814456.8%25 W · 19 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+22.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed FlyQuest56c176$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.442,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked FlyQuest49c166$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.7614338.5%55 W · 88 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d1f…c47bbacked Dignitas51c164.71$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.5wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-50%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8c33…b8f1backed Dignitas51c159.31$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.251127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.22per pick49cpaid-35.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8f41…260ebacked Dignitas51c150$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.53847.4%18 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9fe…db0dbacked FlyQuest48c129.78$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.1828149.8%140 W · 141 L-1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bac…d241backed Dignitas51c123.86$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.1720631.6%65 W · 141 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x021a…d3aebacked Dignitas48c117.82$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.5533139.9%132 W · 199 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0192…ba59backed FlyQuest60c116.67$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.672055%11 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ed1…fd2abacked Dignitas46c107.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.7335642.4%151 W · 205 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbadb…a760backed FlyQuest50c103$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.57358.9%43 W · 30 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc22a…8259backed FlyQuest49c102.73$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.7338144.6%170 W · 211 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e61…2f1bbacked Dignitas48c102.5$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.23060%18 W · 12 L+4.3wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+48.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xaf19…8869backed Dignitas49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505626.8%15 W · 41 L-6.5wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-31%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf247…d8cabacked Dignitas49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4911858.5%69 W · 49 L+12.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+20.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Dignitas43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4334742.1%146 W · 201 L-13.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed FlyQuest54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461,24242.6%529 W · 713 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x43c6…6dc9backed Dignitas51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518148.1%39 W · 42 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+29.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Dignitas45c99.99$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.3131439.8%125 W · 189 L-16.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x100c…edc9backed FlyQuest51c98.02$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.034452.3%23 W · 21 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+16.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfdd…e70ebacked Dignitas51c98$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9813240.9%54 W · 78 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb727…2a9dbacked FlyQuest45c93.18$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.255349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bf3…d220backed Dignitas55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015953.5%85 W · 74 L+10.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Dignitas49c89.1$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.918342.1%77 W · 106 L+0.8wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb978…fac0backed FlyQuest51c78.41$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.4213664%87 W · 49 L+10.2wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Dignitas23c73.07$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6270443.9%309 W · 395 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71a5…b594backed FlyQuest50c70$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.21361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+34.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x03ba…ab49backed Dignitas50c68.58$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348755.2%48 W · 39 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed FlyQuest51c65.2$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.1818051.1%92 W · 88 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7e8…65dbbacked FlyQuest51c62.87$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.877963.3%50 W · 29 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked FlyQuest47c57.14$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.281,48550.1%744 W · 741 L+67.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed FlyQuest71c56.84$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3897854.4%532 W · 446 L+48.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa58f…cec8backed FlyQuest51c54.2$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.568265.9%54 W · 28 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+10.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8a00…59e2backed FlyQuest51c49$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.013666.7%24 W · 12 L+4.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+16.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x14ca…8f43backed Dignitas49c48.97$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2420644.7%92 W · 114 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5fe…311abacked FlyQuest54c46.01$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.162638.5%10 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1fd…10ccbacked FlyQuest60c45.4$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.1620967%140 W · 69 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Dignitas50c44.68$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3425542%107 W · 148 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fb1…b109backed Dignitas51c42$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.42933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-45.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd215…1c8ebacked FlyQuest49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.822250%11 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cd3…226ebacked Dignitas48c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1255628.6%159 W · 397 L-31.8wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-27.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2035…dc1cbacked FlyQuest51c39.2$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.213951.3%20 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x360a…1098backed Dignitas50c31$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.52133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdb1c…2679backed FlyQuest56c28.3$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4544461.7%274 W · 170 L+27.0wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+8.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x657c…66a3backed Dignitas50c26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133240.6%13 W · 19 L-4.3wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-29.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0ccf…f1e1backed FlyQuest51c22.69$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.122365.2%15 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed FlyQuest49c21$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.712339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ca6…9da8backed FlyQuest50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108652.3%45 W · 41 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Dignitas51c19.94$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.172,50839.8%999 W · 1,509 L-76.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4223…42c7backed FlyQuest68c19$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.084654.3%25 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.