Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x740b0800595a57572c80d79492cc40a311592c919de1054e033eea1a7e1db956
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,714
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,088
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,714 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Under | 58c | 1,628$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.76 | 1,522 | 54.7%832 W · 690 L | +37.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2316…9819backed Over | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 58c | 1,316$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.22 | 2,178 | 53.4%1,164 W · 1,014 L | +61.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Over | 42c | 1,152$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.79 | 471 | 36.9%174 W · 297 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 42c | 454$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.54 | 257 | 43.2%111 W · 146 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…70e3backed Over | 41c | 299.98$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.99 | 109 | 34.9%38 W · 71 L | -15.2wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 18c | 208$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.44 | 2,237 | 33.3%745 W · 1,492 L | -71.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Under | 59c | 204$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.64 | 200 | 59%118 W · 82 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 39c | 200.16$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.51 | 2,984 | 44.5%1,329 W · 1,655 L | -94.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked Over | 41c | 174.24$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.44 | 1,049 | 44.6%468 W · 581 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Under | 59c | 168.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.68 | 312 | 42.6%133 W · 179 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Under | 58c | 158.98$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.77 | 1,502 | 50.3%756 W · 746 L | +71.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Under | 60c | 155.87$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.77 | 1,616 | 43.8%708 W · 908 L | -74.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 76c | 131.3$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.98 | 1,476 | 43.6%643 W · 833 L | -31.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 20c | 114.89$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.26 | 1,143 | 30.8%352 W · 791 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 20c | 110$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 2,707 | 35.9%972 W · 1,735 L | -152.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Over | 27c | 103.06$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.41 | 314 | 39.8%125 W · 189 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Over | 30c | 99.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 347 | 42.1%146 W · 201 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 76c | 97.74$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 1,181 | 66%780 W · 401 L | +70.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 23c | 80$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 704 | 43.9%309 W · 395 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca5f…41f5backed Under | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.55 | 213 | 54.9%117 W · 96 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Over | 29c | 55.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7e…2ef7backed Under | 72c | 52.62$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.9 | 400 | 63%252 W · 148 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Over | 39c | 50.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 246 | 43.1%106 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked Under | 61c | 45.13$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 230 | 66.1%152 W · 78 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4223…42c7backed Under | 69c | 34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…5badbacked Under | 59c | 33.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.89 | 139 | 63.3%88 W · 51 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked Under | 73c | 33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Under | 59c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Over | 40c | 25.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 356 | 42.4%151 W · 205 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa58c…56e3backed Under | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 276 | 68.1%188 W · 88 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: FLY (-1.5) vs Dignitas (+1.5)FlyQuest won
- LoL: Dignitas vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Regular SeasonFlyQuest won
- LoL: Dignitas vs FlyQuest - Game 1 WinnerFlyQuest won
- LoL: Dignitas vs FlyQuest - Game 2 WinnerFlyQuest won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.