Lol · resolved market
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs ROSSMANN Centaurs (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9044332895c2483064a94a8dee62dcf9edcb8fda5733bb4cbc2820c789030a18
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eintracht Spandauof Eintracht Spandau, ROSSMANN Centaurs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,988
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,503
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,988 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac75…1319backed Eintracht Spandau | 78c | 54,253$42,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,012.5 | 233 | 51.1%119 W · 114 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 22c | 11,111$2,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,444.42 | 311 | 53.4%166 W · 145 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 22c | 8,000$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,760 | 164 | 54.9%90 W · 74 L | +14.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…6591backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 22c | 7,777$1,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710.94 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b9…0fc9backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 22c | 5,005$1,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,101.1 | 348 | 37.4%130 W · 218 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 22c | 4,818$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 175 | 37.1%65 W · 110 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 22c | 3,500$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 460 | 33.9%156 W · 304 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa558…1b44backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 22c | 3,251$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.22 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 22c | 2,629$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.36 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 22c | 939.14$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.61 | 487 | 42.3%206 W · 281 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x478e…a576backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 22c | 777.68$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.09 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1,806 | 39.1%707 W · 1,099 L | -30.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 771 | 31.8%245 W · 526 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 53 | 20.8%11 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Eintracht Spandau | 77c | 458.88$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 22c | 450$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 299 | 40.1%120 W · 179 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 24c | 447.08$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.04 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 17c | 423.04$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.83 | 152 | 32.2%49 W · 103 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe33b…6de8backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 7c | 417.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.83 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…c36abacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 26c | 400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 26c | 373.08$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Eintracht Spandau | 75c | 359$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.75 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a08…08dfbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 22c | 354.55$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x139e…de1abacked Eintracht Spandau | 78c | 344.04$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.69 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 26c | 339.28$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 592 | 48.3%286 W · 306 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 4c | 325$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…583abacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…6efebacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 24c | 268.91$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed70…4f63backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…1a20backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 22c | 213.64$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 415 | 44.6%185 W · 230 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 22c | 183.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 115 | 42.6%49 W · 66 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x276d…1cf4backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 22c | 175$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff5e…9c6ebacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 104 | 22.1%23 W · 81 L | -14.2wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c2…3c0abacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 22c | 159.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6c…eb44backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 12c | 158.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2610…972ebacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 13c | 153.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 73 | 11%8 W · 65 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 22c | 150$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 22c | 150$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 25c | 149.05$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.66 | 318 | 29.2%93 W · 225 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd7…6c52backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 22c | 143.64$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 95 | 29.5%28 W · 67 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…5106backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 22c | 103.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 22c | 95.45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3b…d82fbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19dc…4b3fbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 22c | 84.27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -4.5wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -33%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Eintracht Spandau | 77c | 83.93$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.14 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 21c | 83.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 22c | 82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 151 | 53.6%81 W · 70 L | +17.3wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xffbe…d917backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 25c | 76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3a…47debacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 22c | 66.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 22c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 573 | 33%189 W · 384 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e72…c55fbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 26c | 54.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 22c | 49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 581 | 55.6%323 W · 258 L | +17.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89be…3d85backed Eintracht Spandau | 76c | 45.72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.97 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0241…fd36backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 25c | 45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 399 | 56.6%226 W · 173 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…5675backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Eintracht Spandau | 74c | 31.5$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 474 | 44.1%209 W · 265 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…eb49backed Eintracht Spandau | 76c | 30.26$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f1…6bc6backed Eintracht Spandau | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 77cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9369…8b85backed Eintracht Spandau | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 76cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e16…fe0abacked Eintracht Spandau | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 77cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed Eintracht Spandau | 74c | 14.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.71 | 170 | 40.6%69 W · 101 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.