Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Sentinels vs NRG - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a6b0327ca06c3cd26c2f2a2ac3f2f2fcfead13c6e68be0c528aae163c55f917
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NRGof Sentinels, NRG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,520
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,766
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,520 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked NRG | 51c | 3,553$1,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,747.71 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Sentinels | 26c | 1,895$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.56 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc96…d916backed Sentinels | 35c | 1,447$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked NRG | 68c | 1,249$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.14 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c93…33d5backed Sentinels | 35c | 1,037$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.78 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb46…3692backed Sentinels | 38c | 792.4$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Sentinels | 32c | 783.83$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.71 | 291 | 51.5%150 W · 141 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked NRG | 75c | 774.96$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.38 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Sentinels | 38c | 644.59$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.19 | 452 | 50%226 W · 226 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Sentinels | 40c | 599.29$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.74 | 533 | 55.3%295 W · 238 L | +24.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Sentinels | 24c | 594.35$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.28 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked NRG | 58c | 587.49$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.73 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Sentinels | 55c | 547.73$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.73 | 153 | 42.5%65 W · 88 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x681b…3d79backed NRG | 36c | 541.94$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.41 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked NRG | 72c | 530.71$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.23 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…e722backed NRG | 59c | 530.03$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.91 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Sentinels | 25c | 501$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.73 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked NRG | 57c | 495.14$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.66 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed NRG | 62c | 489.73$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.1 | 409 | 44.3%181 W · 228 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73ad…fb53backed Sentinels | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed NRG | 53c | 411$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.97 | 260 | 50%130 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed NRG | 71c | 405.69$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.78 | 563 | 57.9%326 W · 237 L | +36.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda00…5c4dbacked NRG | 70c | 394.66$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.57 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…7d07backed Sentinels | 58c | 383.48$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.89 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3304…8313backed NRG | 66c | 378.79$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.79 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…b170backed NRG | 57c | 347.13$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.7 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c68…f274backed NRG | 72c | 347.08$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2460…e144backed NRG | 46c | 326.32$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.32 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Sentinels | 34c | 310.33$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.46 | 361 | 38.5%139 W · 222 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa2…3263backed NRG | 62c | 286.61$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +216.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed NRG | 61c | 253.39$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.71 | 517 | 49.5%256 W · 261 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9851…1320backed NRG | 61c | 211.7$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.52 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Sentinels | 31c | 207.1$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.57 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked NRG | 60c | 173.61$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.02 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Sentinels | 28c | 170.89$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.85 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Sentinels | 35c | 144.24$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.9 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Sentinels | 28c | 141$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.53 | 310 | 46.5%144 W · 166 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed NRG | 52c | 139.11$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.82 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…bf2fbacked Sentinels | 37c | 135.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd4…9bcdbacked NRG | 75c | 131.2$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed NRG | 71c | 122.06$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.61 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75c1…22e4backed NRG | 54c | 120.37$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.37 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -8.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x300d…780dbacked NRG | 52c | 110$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…f7dbbacked NRG | 58c | 109.99$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Sentinels | 63c | 101.41$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 420 | 51.9%218 W · 202 L | -21.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Sentinels | 35c | 100.58$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.34 | 240 | 32.1%77 W · 163 L | -18.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0181…9b5fbacked NRG | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.2 | 278 | 50%139 W · 139 L | +21.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed NRG | 61c | 83.38$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 247 | 51.8%128 W · 119 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee8…7406backed Sentinels | 42c | 76.04$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Sentinels | 46c | 70$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 180 | 56.1%101 W · 79 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb92f…58c4backed NRG | 77c | 65.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.04 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf792…9309backed Sentinels | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed NRG | 73c | 58.47$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.67 | 636 | 52.7%335 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed NRG | 69c | 58$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.78 | 264 | 36%95 W · 169 L | -15.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed NRG | 38c | 55.72$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.78 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x33d5…7146backed NRG | 52c | 55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +236%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed NRG | 52c | 55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 158 | 39.2%62 W · 96 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed NRG | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 271 | 45%122 W · 149 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Sentinels | 33c | 45.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed NRG | 56c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 305 | 44.3%135 W · 170 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb00…fda1backed NRG | 51c | 43.09$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.09 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90a…f6b5backed NRG | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1445…614abacked NRG | 63c | 33.05$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked NRG | 75c | 29.06$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.12 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87c0…244ebacked Sentinels | 41c | 29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28af…7b93backed NRG | 80c | 26.75$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.43 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed NRG | 79c | 25.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29ad…93dfbacked Sentinels | 59c | 23.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 40cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed NRG | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Sentinels vs NRG - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs Sentinels (+1.5)Sentinels won
- Valorant: Sentinels vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group OmegaNRG won
- Valorant: Sentinels vs NRG - Map 2 WinnerSentinels won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.