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Lol · resolved market

LoL: LOUD vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Vivo Keyd Starsof LOUD, Vivo Keyd Stars
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$47,207
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$61,179

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,207 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3186…e9cabacked Vivo Keyd Stars70c12,114$8,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,658.991,54962.8%972 W · 577 L+161.3wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed LOUD1c4,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405920%0 W · 592 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked Vivo Keyd Stars30c2,467$733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,734.5290343.9%396 W · 507 L+3.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06c0…e618backed LOUD60c2,019$1,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,217.1227957.7%161 W · 118 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x62c6…ab7bbacked LOUD54c2,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.9984960.8%516 W · 333 L+45.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Vivo Keyd Stars40c1,746$694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,051.742,26137.3%843 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked LOUD68c1,649$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,120.032,02858.2%1,180 W · 848 L+88.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x74f5…b1c6backed LOUD62c1,635$1,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,012.084774.5%35 W · 12 L+7.9wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+22.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf163…ca34backed LOUD66c1,555$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,024.741,50948.5%732 W · 777 L+48.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x28fd…00d0backed LOUD35c1,431$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50026859.3%159 W · 109 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0960…5adcbacked Vivo Keyd Stars44c1,126$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.2412642.1%53 W · 73 L-7.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcc96…d916backed LOUD35c857.75$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001936.8%7 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick30cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Vivo Keyd Stars28c849.76$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.251,48328.9%428 W · 1,055 L+23.0wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfad…fa05backed LOUD74c810.81$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001,23957.9%717 W · 522 L+42.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa39…bb64backed LOUD69c749.99$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.4913761.3%84 W · 53 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed Vivo Keyd Stars59c728.45$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.119948.2%96 W · 103 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Vivo Keyd Stars25c663.89$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.972,84541.4%1,178 W · 1,667 L-14.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed LOUD60c647.49$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.892,20253.5%1,178 W · 1,024 L+63.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd703…9b8bbacked LOUD35c578.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005137.3%19 W · 32 L-6.8wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-27.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked LOUD71c482.8$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.791,01356.9%576 W · 437 L+25.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed LOUD75c466.67$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35016147.8%77 W · 84 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Vivo Keyd Stars33c457.17$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.31,83239.2%718 W · 1,114 L-30.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b04…f792backed LOUD78c386.88$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30039266.6%261 W · 131 L+12.7wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed LOUD5c376.83$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.231,5303.3%50 W · 1,480 L-54.3wins-0.04per pick7cpaid-74.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x450e…4fddbacked LOUD72c371.53$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.514555.2%80 W · 65 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8c6e…1ebfbacked Vivo Keyd Stars44c325.01$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.998243.9%36 W · 46 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc397…bb3bbacked Vivo Keyd Stars65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.691,69659.5%1,009 W · 687 L+101.4wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e8e…f9b2backed Vivo Keyd Stars53c283.04$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.0440546.2%187 W · 218 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed LOUD51c269.28$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.332,27933%753 W · 1,526 L-76.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-22%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3333…3c23backed Vivo Keyd Stars28c262.79$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.2128042.5%119 W · 161 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Vivo Keyd Stars39c254.81$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.4324743.3%107 W · 140 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x398d…b8d6backed LOUD32c249.23$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8164451.2%330 W · 314 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e99…0a26backed Vivo Keyd Stars26c235$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.9683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick50cpaid+93.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe251…8effbacked Vivo Keyd Stars55c222.43$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.946949.3%34 W · 35 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc52f…0981backed Vivo Keyd Stars65c185.06$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.0641468.4%283 W · 131 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick68cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ff8…5e5dbacked LOUD73c183.55$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.9912953.5%69 W · 60 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3737…bfd1backed LOUD78c179.78$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.938656.7%219 W · 167 L+1.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa487…9439backed Vivo Keyd Stars40c171.6$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.9611538.3%44 W · 71 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd37…e117backed LOUD16c165.73$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.157544%33 W · 42 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Vivo Keyd Stars40c150$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.6360943.2%263 W · 346 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0580…f78bbacked LOUD51c144.71$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.87733.8%26 W · 51 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x695d…0d7cbacked LOUD58c137.54$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9468653.2%365 W · 321 L+24.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2a7…3a99backed LOUD37c135.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040532.8%133 W · 272 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Vivo Keyd Stars31c131.74$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.021,94037.1%720 W · 1,220 L-117.0wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-32.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Vivo Keyd Stars39c131.52$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.233,06644.6%1,366 W · 1,700 L-97.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb11…66cbbacked LOUD66c131.1$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.591,02555.9%573 W · 452 L+22.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74fc…a0bdbacked Vivo Keyd Stars37c128.8$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.7515457.8%89 W · 65 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d0a…0809backed Vivo Keyd Stars24c110$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.653829.4%158 W · 380 L-13.8wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc400…21a7backed Vivo Keyd Stars35c101.03$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.0323149.8%115 W · 116 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cd2…648cbacked Vivo Keyd Stars33c100$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6797248.8%474 W · 498 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2698…2941backed LOUD41c97.88$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6824251.7%125 W · 117 L+1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Vivo Keyd Stars19c94.98$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.2121630.6%66 W · 150 L-15.6wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-39.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xddbd…bcb5backed Vivo Keyd Stars26c88.46$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.4615829.7%47 W · 111 L-0.5wins0.00per pick30cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbac…87c5backed LOUD57c87.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504161%25 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8144…8472backed Vivo Keyd Stars43c82.72$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.1510443.3%45 W · 59 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f63…9551backed LOUD69c82.42$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.875957.6%34 W · 25 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefa3…7585backed Vivo Keyd Stars39c77.64$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.363842.1%16 W · 22 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick36cpaid-10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x83ce…835cbacked Vivo Keyd Stars51c77.03$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7912861.7%79 W · 49 L+12.7wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+17.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Vivo Keyd Stars40c75$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451,89339.8%754 W · 1,139 L-68.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a02…a770backed LOUD74c71.72$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.071,37248.6%667 W · 705 L+57.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdfcf…a26ebacked Vivo Keyd Stars24c70$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.236531.5%115 W · 250 L-0.5wins0.00per pick32cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Vivo Keyd Stars58c70$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.611,68347%791 W · 892 L-24.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1025…fbfabacked LOUD72c69.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5052654.8%288 W · 238 L+12.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed LOUD59c66.98$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5254824.3%133 W · 415 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed LOUD63c64.58$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.851,57848.5%765 W · 813 L+18.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bc4…e2b9backed LOUD31c64$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8415045.3%68 W · 82 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed Vivo Keyd Stars29c60$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.658437.2%217 W · 367 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6d2…86e7backed LOUD73c59.99$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.796867.6%46 W · 22 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c2b…1388backed LOUD35c57.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014546.2%67 W · 78 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50ab…70a2backed Vivo Keyd Stars26c57.69$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.6934943.6%152 W · 197 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed LOUD40c50.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2160738.7%235 W · 372 L+2.6wins0.00per pick38cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc666…8d00backed Vivo Keyd Stars23c50$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.544951.7%232 W · 217 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8350…d9febacked Vivo Keyd Stars41c49.06$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.061080%8 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+42.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb627…d968backed Vivo Keyd Stars58c48.51$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1752252.5%274 W · 248 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Vivo Keyd Stars29c47.99$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.312,92638.4%1,125 W · 1,801 L-122.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3cf9…dde4backed LOUD64c46.54$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3013156.5%74 W · 57 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fb2…bd2dbacked LOUD74c45.26$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4938655.2%213 W · 173 L+1.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8898…e3b8backed Vivo Keyd Stars66c42.42$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4210356.3%58 W · 45 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3f1…401ebacked Vivo Keyd Stars31c39.99$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.636643.4%159 W · 207 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x330f…91b1backed LOUD63c39.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.291,27052.8%671 W · 599 L+14.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcae…2397backed LOUD70c37.49$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.198051.3%41 W · 39 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Vivo Keyd Stars40c37$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.21,61417.5%283 W · 1,331 L-246.8wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xb676…2dbbbacked LOUD51c33.13$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.915756.7%89 W · 68 L+10.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x062b…c6eabacked Vivo Keyd Stars49c32.82$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.791861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb877…4601backed LOUD62c32.16$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.881,27340%509 W · 764 L-69.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x541e…cc8abacked Vivo Keyd Stars65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7713262.9%83 W · 49 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcd1…5792backed Vivo Keyd Stars65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.772860.7%17 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe489…8804backed LOUD70c30$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2117549.7%87 W · 88 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f1b…bc10backed Vivo Keyd Stars55c29.4$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3314359.4%85 W · 58 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb003…d962backed LOUD77c29.17$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4679951.7%413 W · 386 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e4d…1cb0backed LOUD59c26.2$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.431,27057%724 W · 546 L+45.7wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc5e…f0c5backed LOUD72c24.29$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.572777.8%21 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick75cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked LOUD46c21.69$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.084027%28 W · 374 L-125.3wins-0.31per pick38cpaid-74.5%equal weight17-0.29 edge/pick
0xb8b6…9588backed LOUD74c21.44$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7932556%182 W · 143 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a1…d6ecbacked LOUD73c20.55$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1547750.5%241 W · 236 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca2…1798backed LOUD73c19$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.875567.3%37 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e2f…f9babacked LOUD68c16.49$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2329554.2%160 W · 135 L-0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.