Asian League · resolved market
Avispa Fukuoka vs. Vissel Kōbe: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x705a3abb7178f0688635bcbe545e84a2daeee05ca914f7a8ae6d1d5147a55167
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,843
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,130
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,843 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc7c7…44b7backed Yes | 58c | 4,674$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 58c | 2,213$1,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.2 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed No | 14c | 947.27$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.09 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +13.5wins | +0.20per pick | 14cpaid | +156.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 49c | 663.28$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.29 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 55c | 587.64$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.54 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…610cbacked No | 56c | 546.02$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.25 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 51c | 543.74$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.43 | 270 | 37%100 W · 170 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 55c | 345.71$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.19 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 46c | 240.65$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.51 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 44c | 216.43$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.23 | 747 | 39.4%294 W · 453 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a62…4ab9backed Yes | 20c | 199.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 55c | 166.92$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.83 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 52c | 136.81$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.67 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a69…8caabacked No | 10c | 127.48$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +383.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 55c | 123.35$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.51 | 423 | 51.3%217 W · 206 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 61c | 113.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.17 | 192 | 61.5%118 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4208…a0c2backed No | 69c | 106$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.86 | 11 | 100%11 W · 0 L | +3.4wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed Yes | 45c | 99.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 94 | 39.4%37 W · 57 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 58c | 91.33$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.13 | 240 | 61.7%148 W · 92 L | +17.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 61c | 75.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.45 | 238 | 59.7%142 W · 96 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed No | 39c | 68.05$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.67 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…b5b5backed No | 61c | 59.22$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 79 | 73.4%58 W · 21 L | +11.6wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed Yes | 44c | 58.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.41 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 59c | 52.94$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.71 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Yes | 43c | 49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 363 | 52.9%192 W · 171 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 52c | 47.63$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.86 | 441 | 52.4%231 W · 210 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 59c | 46.22$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 251 | 55.8%140 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb2…ee14backed No | 59c | 45.09$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed No | 57c | 36.95$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3110…c3f5backed No | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked No | 56c | 34.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.23 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Yes | 39c | 34.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 207 | 69.6%144 W · 63 L | +31.9wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed No | 59c | 25.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.39 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f5…1b50backed No | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x013f…ca85backed No | 61c | 24.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 27 | 85.2%23 W · 4 L | +9.2wins | +0.34per pick | 51cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked No | 62c | 17.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.69 | 75 | 70.7%53 W · 22 L | +10.3wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Avispa Fukuoka vs. Vissel Kōbe: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Avispa Fukuoka vs. Vissel Kōbe: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Avispa Fukuoka vs. Vissel Kōbe: Avispa Fukuoka O/U 0.5Under won
- Avispa Fukuoka vs. Vissel Kōbe: Avispa Fukuoka O/U 1.5Under won
- Avispa Fukuoka vs. Vissel Kōbe: O/U 0.5Over won
- Avispa Fukuoka vs. Vissel Kōbe: O/U 1.5Under won
- Avispa Fukuoka vs. Vissel Kōbe: O/U 2.5Under won
- Avispa Fukuoka vs. Vissel Kōbe: O/U 3.5Under won
- Avispa Fukuoka vs. Vissel Kōbe: O/U 4.5Under won
- Avispa Fukuoka vs. Vissel Kōbe: O/U 5.5Under won
- Avispa Fukuoka vs. Vissel Kōbe: Vissel Kōbe O/U 1.5Under won
- Spread: Avispa Fukuoka (-1.5)Vissel Kōbe won
- Spread: Vissel Kōbe (-1.5)Avispa Fukuoka won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.