TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Spread: Vissel Kōbe (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Avispa Fukuokaof Vissel Kōbe, Avispa Fukuoka
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$18,521
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$18,518

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,521 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Vissel Kōbe22c2,640$581 inLost-$580.821,65150.9%840 W · 811 L+5.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Vissel Kōbe30c2,132$629 inLost-$629.382842.4%351 W · 477 L+19.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Vissel Kōbe19c2,000$380 inLost-$38018353%97 W · 86 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Vissel Kōbe22c1,136$250 inLost-$249.921,11746.2%516 W · 601 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Avispa Fukuoka72c1,119$808 inWon+$310.452,49140%997 W · 1,494 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Vissel Kōbe19c599.99$114 inLost-$11417247.1%81 W · 91 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2613…12bdbacked Vissel Kōbe18c319.89$57 inLost-$57.084323.3%10 W · 33 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-24.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x64e7…50d1backed Vissel Kōbe36c277.78$100 inLost-$1002227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Vissel Kōbe19c200$38 inLost-$3821152.1%110 W · 101 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Vissel Kōbe31c138.69$43 inLost-$43.0444152.4%231 W · 210 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Vissel Kōbe22c106.97$23 inLost-$23.411,97054.4%1,071 W · 899 L+32.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Vissel Kōbe22c70.66$15 inLost-$15.2124061.7%148 W · 92 L+17.2wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Avispa Fukuoka80c45.17$36 inWon+$9.0337153.9%200 W · 171 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Avispa Fukuoka80c43.49$35 inWon+$8.723859.7%142 W · 96 L+16.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1010…d793backed Avispa Fukuoka80c40$32 inWon+$8.214752.4%77 W · 70 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc8e…944ebacked Avispa Fukuoka79c31.31$25 inWon+$6.56382.5%52 W · 11 L+6.0wins+0.10per pick73cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7629…226cbacked Vissel Kōbe34c29.47$10 inLost-$10.022759.3%16 W · 11 L+5.1wins+0.19per pick40cpaid+54.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x70b1…73b2backed Avispa Fukuoka80c25.12$20 inWon+$5.023473.5%25 W · 9 L+7.3wins+0.21per pick52cpaid+44%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Vissel Kōbe42c25$11 inLost-$10.527148%130 W · 141 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Avispa Fukuoka58c25$15 inWon+$10.56248.4%30 W · 32 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c6c…df88backed Avispa Fukuoka80c18.75$15 inWon+$3.752100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+118.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Avispa Fukuoka80c14.46$12 inWon+$2.899545.3%43 W · 52 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-21.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.