Asian League · resolved market
Avispa Fukuoka vs. Vissel Kōbe: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ce9853a0d8d831d112eb6f80a114352fd61b4da25962dc84e5e936993375d49
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,167
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,726
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,167 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 30c | 11,137$3,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,320 | 825 | 42.4%350 W · 475 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 68c | 5,855$3,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,870.75 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 63c | 2,421$1,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.75 | 1,707 | 50.6%863 W · 844 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 35c | 2,398$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.33 | 243 | 23%56 W · 187 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d4…23e8backed Under | 50c | 2,071$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.77 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64e7…50d1backed Under | 51c | 1,563$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.59 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 35c | 1,514$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 37c | 1,432$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.95 | 1,214 | 50.2%610 W · 604 L | +12.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 33c | 1,338$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.22 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…1444backed Under | 65c | 1,097$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.82 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 80c | 947.66$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.17 | 2,397 | 37.8%905 W · 1,492 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc283…b876backed Over | 36c | 708.94$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.22 | 83 | 18.1%15 W · 68 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Under | 66c | 476.63$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.23 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Under | 65c | 399.94$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.98 | 210 | 52.4%110 W · 100 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 27c | 325.93$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 144 | 29.2%42 W · 102 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 69c | 320.94$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.36 | 192 | 61.5%118 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 69c | 304.28$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.62 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 69c | 299.27$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.23 | 251 | 55.8%140 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 63c | 272.41$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.52 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 65c | 260.05$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.41 | 185 | 44.3%82 W · 103 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 67c | 240.11$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 237 | 61.6%146 W · 91 L | +16.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49f0…285fbacked Under | 62c | 234.38$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.91 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 62cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 72c | 219.82$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.64 | 313 | 59.7%187 W · 126 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 69c | 211.87$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.14 | 236 | 60.2%142 W · 94 L | +17.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 153 | 54.9%84 W · 69 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 37c | 199.01$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.31 | 1,434 | 35.2%505 W · 929 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…4eb2backed Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 64c | 154.78$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.72 | 1,109 | 46.2%512 W · 597 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…b5b5backed Under | 70c | 145.31$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.61 | 79 | 73.4%58 W · 21 L | +11.6wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa4aa…0904backed Over | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5215…b02fbacked Over | 34c | 125.23$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 34c | 97.07$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.52 | 363 | 52.9%192 W · 171 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…b32ebacked Over | 38c | 91$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 67c | 64.98$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.44 | 1,959 | 54.6%1,069 W · 890 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under | 68c | 56.36$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.25 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Under | 70c | 50.69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 75 | 70.7%53 W · 22 L | +10.3wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe057…c942backed Over | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 74c | 49$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 876 | 45.1%395 W · 481 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 26c | 49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 257 | 42%108 W · 149 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Under | 66c | 47.87$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 43c | 46.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 762 | 55.9%426 W · 336 L | +38.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Under | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 161 | 55.9%90 W · 71 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x853e…f16abacked Over | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 63c | 34.17$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.61 | 192 | 56.8%109 W · 83 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…5a03backed Over | 35c | 32.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 57c | 29.42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.62 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 64c | 27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Under | 63c | 25.34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Under | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 63c | 19.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 166 | 59.6%99 W · 67 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3500…07f0backed Under | 70c | 17.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.43 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccb7…0477backed Under | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x013f…ca85backed Under | 67c | 14.88$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.84 | 27 | 85.2%23 W · 4 L | +9.2wins | +0.34per pick | 51cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Avispa Fukuoka vs. Vissel Kōbe: O/U 2.5this page
- Avispa Fukuoka vs. Vissel Kōbe: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Avispa Fukuoka vs. Vissel Kōbe: Avispa Fukuoka O/U 0.5Under won
- Avispa Fukuoka vs. Vissel Kōbe: Avispa Fukuoka O/U 1.5Under won
- Avispa Fukuoka vs. Vissel Kōbe: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Avispa Fukuoka vs. Vissel Kōbe: O/U 0.5Over won
- Avispa Fukuoka vs. Vissel Kōbe: O/U 1.5Under won
- Avispa Fukuoka vs. Vissel Kōbe: O/U 3.5Under won
- Avispa Fukuoka vs. Vissel Kōbe: O/U 4.5Under won
- Avispa Fukuoka vs. Vissel Kōbe: O/U 5.5Under won
- Avispa Fukuoka vs. Vissel Kōbe: Vissel Kōbe O/U 1.5Under won
- Spread: Avispa Fukuoka (-1.5)Vissel Kōbe won
- Spread: Vissel Kōbe (-1.5)Avispa Fukuoka won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.