TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

Vålerenga Fotball vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$15,284
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$11,766

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,284 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc7c7…44b7backed Over32c4,688$1,500 inLost-$1,5001442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over2c2,530$50 inLost-$49.9671533.8%242 W · 473 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-28.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over13c2,215$293 inLost-$293.222,00136.5%730 W · 1,271 L-25.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under68c1,563$1,063 inWon+$5002,64035.7%942 W · 1,698 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9d3…079fbacked Under65c1,308$850 inWon+$457.772572%18 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over35c1,002$349 inLost-$348.555,60442%2,356 W · 3,248 L+75.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under67c607.15$409 inWon+$198.657,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6479…5e64backed Under73c384.23$280 inWon+$103.747967.1%53 W · 26 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+19.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under69c271$187 inWon+$84.011,46748%704 W · 763 L+3.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under69c271$187 inWon+$84.011,71148.3%827 W · 884 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Under69c98.71$68 inWon+$30.627554.9%151 W · 124 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Under69c70.84$49 inWon+$21.9630550.8%155 W · 150 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x490f…a02dbacked Over31c65.39$20 inLost-$203836.8%14 W · 24 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbbdd…bd60backed Under68c60.28$41 inWon+$19.2914339.2%56 W · 87 L-10.3wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-19.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over32c56.78$18 inLost-$18.171,43437.7%540 W · 894 L-3.6wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under68c53.81$37 inWon+$17.222,06848.1%995 W · 1,073 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Under69c47.22$33 inWon+$14.6433959%200 W · 139 L+18.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under69c38.66$27 inWon+$11.982,54352.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L+18.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5f5…1b50backed Under68c22$15 inWon+$7.042373.9%17 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick70cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe707…e0cfbacked Under65c20$13 inWon+$75261.5%32 W · 20 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x460c…b5b5backed Under68c19.75$13 inWon+$6.327564%48 W · 27 L+6.3wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+5.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2fb9…c170backed Under80c18.77$15 inWon+$3.754789.4%42 W · 5 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick80cpaid+11.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under68c16.73$11 inWon+$5.3535163.5%223 W · 128 L+13.8wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.