Other European Leagues · resolved market
Vålerenga Fotball vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f47e5988dcf2f7a76d6fee540502820676e14beefff88e1fe60df9d9f468b77
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,762
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,990
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,762 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 48c | 8,001$3,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,160.33 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 52c | 7,000$3,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,640 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 29c | 6,779$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998.66 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…bb99backed Under | 49c | 3,407$1,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,724.09 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 50c | 2,089$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.09 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…44b7backed Over | 51c | 1,940$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.44 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 50c | 1,887$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.47 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc283…b876backed Over | 32c | 1,608$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.69 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 48c | 1,107$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.7 | 125 | 64%80 W · 45 L | +13.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9133…20acbacked Under | 69c | 984.72$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.26 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 65cpaid | +33%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 52c | 958.99$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.67 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 48c | 894.43$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.1 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 56c | 712.73$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.29 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 51c | 405.39$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.7 | 370 | 49.5%183 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 47c | 365.25$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.97 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 49c | 330$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.3 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0962…6e40backed Over | 52c | 193.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 19c | 169.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.3 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 49c | 168.47$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.11 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a1…fb15backed Under | 70c | 147.7$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.31 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 11c | 143.55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 220 | 62.3%137 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 48c | 110$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5d…9bdcbacked Under | 50c | 109.02$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.02 | 15 | 93.3%14 W · 1 L | +5.2wins | +0.34per pick | 59cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe707…e0cfbacked Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8953…9b78backed Under | 47c | 99.97$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.98 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 50c | 94.93$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.42 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked Over | 16c | 92.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Under | 49c | 80$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 47c | 73.67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.01 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed Under | 49c | 71.41$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.42 | 143 | 39.2%56 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 79c | 55.07$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.63 | 323 | 50.2%162 W · 161 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 50c | 54$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…a02dbacked Over | 51c | 52.55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8233…df36backed Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Under | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.66 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -8.1wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x49f0…285fbacked Under | 49c | 36.98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 53c | 30.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under | 78c | 27.09$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.96 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 51c | 24.65$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.08 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e26…8991backed Over | 51c | 21.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Over | 52c | 20.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x345c…b59dbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Vålerenga Fotball vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-1.5)Vålerenga Fotball won
- Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-2.5)Vålerenga Fotball won
- Vålerenga Fotball vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Vålerenga Fotball vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Vålerenga Fotball vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Vålerenga Fotball vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Vålerenga Fotball vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 0.5Over won
- Vålerenga Fotball vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 1.5Over won
- Vålerenga Fotball vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 2.5Over won
- Vålerenga Fotball vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 4.5Under won
- Vålerenga Fotball vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 5.5Under won
- Vålerenga Fotball vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: Vålerenga Fotball O/U 0.5Over won
- Vålerenga Fotball vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: Vålerenga Fotball O/U 1.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.