Ligue 1 · resolved market
AS Monaco FC vs. Lille OSC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94a2ef32acbd4c98f14569d53bc25490eb366d84205d79f6cfb402af2be3ded1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,093
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,130
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,093 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 60c | 5,588$3,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,208.18 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 54c | 1,905$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.69 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 42c | 1,896$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.96 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbc…095ebacked Over | 46c | 1,593$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Over | 46c | 1,463$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 62c | 967.95$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.64 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 30c | 950.21$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.12 | 227 | 45.8%104 W · 123 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 47c | 719.15$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…44b7backed Over | 37c | 357.51$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 63c | 313.76$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.62 | 260 | 46.2%120 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a6…6ea4backed Over | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Over | 41c | 231.83$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 71c | 200$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 223 | 40.8%91 W · 132 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde28…8d20backed Over | 26c | 151.46$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd53c…5194backed Over | 25c | 150$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 53c | 149.01$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.73 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 19c | 145.66$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.99 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4871…0742backed Over | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 67cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6021…4c5cbacked Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Over | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 40c | 90.73$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.29 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 42c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24a3…7c66backed Over | 47c | 74.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked Over | 47c | 71.6$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.65 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Over | 49c | 59.29$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -5.2wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x51fc…ed09backed Under | 52c | 40.38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Under | 56c | 37.4$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.59 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Over | 36c | 35.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Over | 47c | 30.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Over | 67c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Over | 75c | 27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…c208backed Over | 46c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9132…6607backed Over | 57c | 21.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7891backed Under | 57c | 18.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.09 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AS Monaco FC vs. Lille OSC: O/U 1.5this page
- AS Monaco FC vs. Lille OSC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- AS Monaco FC vs. Lille OSC: O/U 2.5Under won
- AS Monaco FC vs. Lille OSC: O/U 3.5Under won
- AS Monaco FC vs. Lille OSC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AS Monaco FC (-2.5)Lille OSC won
- Spread: Lille OSC (-1.5)AS Monaco FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.