Ligue 1 · resolved market
AS Monaco FC vs. Lille OSC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1960fc921753aebd8195a51a86cf4fbcc88bb0759a159723e1dc3698c2b26a79
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,166
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,211
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,166 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 61c | 4,741$2,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.22 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…d4bfbacked Yes | 40c | 2,777$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110.93 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 31c | 580.65$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 117 | 25.6%30 W · 87 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 62c | 524.19$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 61c | 494.3$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.31 | 260 | 46.2%120 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75fc…0a4cbacked Yes | 28c | 423$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.44 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 38c | 321.32$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.06 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 8c | 277.63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f83…465dbacked Yes | 44c | 155.42$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 62c | 112.9$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ac…4025backed Yes | 48c | 99.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9043…af14backed Yes | 62c | 96.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 53c | 88.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.99 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaca…49e6backed Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b31…b0debacked Yes | 31c | 80.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes | 62c | 72.58$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b68…0060backed Yes | 63c | 72.47$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.66 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…d6f5backed Yes | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 37c | 63.49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 263 | 54%142 W · 121 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 37c | 63.49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 304 | 48%146 W · 158 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 38c | 60.19$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.32 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed No | 39c | 55.85$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4359…1260backed Yes | 62c | 49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.38 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Yes | 62c | 48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…f166backed Yes | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83ba…2404backed Yes | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Yes | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -5.4wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 38c | 38.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.87 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked No | 38c | 35.23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked No | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbecf…0f51backed No | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes | 41c | 26.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…e055backed Yes | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AS Monaco FC vs. Lille OSC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- AS Monaco FC vs. Lille OSC: O/U 1.5Under won
- AS Monaco FC vs. Lille OSC: O/U 2.5Under won
- AS Monaco FC vs. Lille OSC: O/U 3.5Under won
- AS Monaco FC vs. Lille OSC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AS Monaco FC (-2.5)Lille OSC won
- Spread: Lille OSC (-1.5)AS Monaco FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.