Other European Leagues · resolved market
Mjallby AIF vs. IK Sirius: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e969f7295ba6177df3a29b456905bddf5079347a09755469136ab589e1a8e83
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,069
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,657
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,069 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc7c7…44b7backed Yes | 63c | 2,346$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.51 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 61c | 1,306$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.93 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 64c | 1,059$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.26 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 37c | 866.2$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.49 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 41c | 699.25$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.68 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 39c | 657.68$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.07 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 40c | 644.3$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.72 | 197 | 29.9%59 W · 138 L | -21.8wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 35c | 564.29$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.47 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 39c | 403.25$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.27 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 62c | 310.31$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.07 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed No | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 37c | 150$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 38c | 150$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 370 | 49.5%183 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 40c | 124.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 191 | 46.6%89 W · 102 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Yes | 62c | 116.11$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.12 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 60c | 113$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.2 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 60c | 113$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.2 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed No | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 143 | 39.2%56 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked No | 41c | 94.17$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.61 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 37c | 87.25$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.28 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 60c | 79$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.6 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 260 | 51.5%134 W · 126 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed No | 38c | 50.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 338 | 53.3%180 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 63c | 48.9$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.09 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a0…2dc3backed No | 27c | 37.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 61c | 37$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 211 | 51.7%109 W · 102 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…530fbacked No | 39c | 32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f89…5619backed Yes | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 56c | 24.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.79 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Yes | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mjallby AIF vs. IK Sirius: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Mjallby AIF vs. IK Sirius: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Mjallby AIF vs. IK Sirius: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Mjallby AIF vs. IK Sirius: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Mjallby AIF vs. IK Sirius: O/U 0.5Over won
- Mjallby AIF vs. IK Sirius: O/U 1.5Over won
- Mjallby AIF vs. IK Sirius: O/U 2.5Over won
- Mjallby AIF vs. IK Sirius: O/U 3.5Over won
- Mjallby AIF vs. IK Sirius: O/U 4.5Over won
- Mjallby AIF vs. IK Sirius: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: IK Sirius (-1.5)Mjallby AIF won
- Spread: IK Sirius (-2.5)Mjallby AIF won
- Spread: Mjallby AIF (-1.5)IK Sirius won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.