Other European Leagues · resolved market
Mjallby AIF vs. IK Sirius: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc59a0eb00f31362aa9ba9c167926ef34f8889d1a0027f76e0b512a457302588
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,067
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,285
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,067 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 47c | 1,374$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.41 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d4…23e8backed Under | 51c | 1,159$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.75 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Over | 35c | 1,143$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.86 | 112 | 37.5%42 W · 70 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 1,039$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.68 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ad…b017backed Over | 47c | 1,023$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.09 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Over | 37c | 838$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +5.6wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 63c | 786.91$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.75 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 48c | 645.73$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.16 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…4eb2backed Under | 52c | 574.05$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Under | 65c | 515.33$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.56 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 33c | 500$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Over | 35c | 470.63$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.91 | 74 | 70.3%52 W · 22 L | +14.0wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 35c | 428.57$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.57 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8220…b081backed Under | 51c | 388.68$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 65c | 388.42$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.47 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Over | 34c | 311.46$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.56 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa212…9161backed Under | 65c | 300$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 48c | 188.82$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.63 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 65c | 143.18$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.07 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6daa…954abacked Over | 35c | 141.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.97 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.7 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 66c | 89.21$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.88 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 77c | 84.8$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.41 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 50c | 78.96$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.38 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 67c | 73.53$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.1 | 176 | 50%88 W · 88 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x734e…edbdbacked Over | 35c | 67.56$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.91 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.9wins | +0.30per pick | 54cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 33c | 55.46$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.16 | 370 | 49.5%183 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65c5…7ba3backed Under | 52c | 51.22$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e8…5e6bbacked Under | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…6a4dbacked Under | 66c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 63c | 39.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 59c | 22.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 66c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 244 | 66%161 W · 83 L | +15.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed Under | 66c | 17.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mjallby AIF vs. IK Sirius: O/U 3.5this page
- Mjallby AIF vs. IK Sirius: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Mjallby AIF vs. IK Sirius: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Mjallby AIF vs. IK Sirius: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Mjallby AIF vs. IK Sirius: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Mjallby AIF vs. IK Sirius: O/U 0.5Over won
- Mjallby AIF vs. IK Sirius: O/U 1.5Over won
- Mjallby AIF vs. IK Sirius: O/U 2.5Over won
- Mjallby AIF vs. IK Sirius: O/U 4.5Over won
- Mjallby AIF vs. IK Sirius: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: IK Sirius (-1.5)Mjallby AIF won
- Spread: IK Sirius (-2.5)Mjallby AIF won
- Spread: Mjallby AIF (-1.5)IK Sirius won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.