Other European Leagues · resolved market
Mjallby AIF vs. IK Sirius: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8bb927bf52dc335f3cd4812db09c928401fed194a9aa9d9cc405c50c2d8b74e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,909
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,470
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,909 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 58c | 9,861$5,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,141.78 | 211 | 51.7%109 W · 102 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x583e…a2a6backed Under | 42c | 4,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 42c | 2,994$1,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.5 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1de6…d1a3backed Under | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Under | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9c…b67dbacked Under | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x712e…0485backed Under | 42c | 1,489$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.36 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 58c | 1,475$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.5 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -7.9wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 56c | 1,374$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.62 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Under | 43c | 1,023$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Over | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.46 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +5.6wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…8380backed Under | 42c | 675.7$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.8 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 66c | 611.49$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.17 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 44c | 566.9$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.28 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 55c | 565.4$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.43 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 370 | 49.5%183 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 55c | 283.2$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.44 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 176 | 50%88 W · 88 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Under | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed Over | 57c | 177.16$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.31 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 12c | 176$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 323 | 50.2%162 W · 161 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1372…4ce0backed Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 58c | 172.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.36 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 11c | 142.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Over | 58c | 139.78$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.71 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 44c | 123.49$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.93 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 58c | 108.35$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.51 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 76c | 102.97$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 67c | 94.55$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.77 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 57c | 76.17$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.75 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Over | 58c | 69.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.34 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 41c | 64.22$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.53 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 55c | 55.84$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.13 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…5a03backed Under | 42c | 52.65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.27 | 91 | 26.4%24 W · 67 L | -10.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 258 | 59.7%154 W · 104 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x853e…f16abacked Over | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Over | 55c | 49.15$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.12 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 55c | 48.53$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 22c | 45.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d9…1059backed Over | 58c | 34.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.53 | 87 | 58.6%51 W · 36 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd60…c454backed Over | 59c | 34.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 33c | 34.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 322 | 57.8%186 W · 136 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe458…8668backed Under | 43c | 33.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Under | 43c | 27.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 55c | 26.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed Under | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 143 | 39.2%56 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe707…e0cfbacked Over | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6b…172abacked Over | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mjallby AIF vs. IK Sirius: O/U 2.5this page
- Mjallby AIF vs. IK Sirius: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Mjallby AIF vs. IK Sirius: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Mjallby AIF vs. IK Sirius: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Mjallby AIF vs. IK Sirius: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Mjallby AIF vs. IK Sirius: O/U 0.5Over won
- Mjallby AIF vs. IK Sirius: O/U 1.5Over won
- Mjallby AIF vs. IK Sirius: O/U 3.5Over won
- Mjallby AIF vs. IK Sirius: O/U 4.5Over won
- Mjallby AIF vs. IK Sirius: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: IK Sirius (-1.5)Mjallby AIF won
- Spread: IK Sirius (-2.5)Mjallby AIF won
- Spread: Mjallby AIF (-1.5)IK Sirius won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.