Other European Leagues · resolved market
Mjallby AIF vs. IK Sirius: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6fdde25cad30ccfe3f23888f8535bb7c9c839b52b5ab1bb969507d8b482dc6ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,478
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,819
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,478 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 70c | 1,329$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.67 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 50c | 1,042$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.02 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 57c | 679.51$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.27 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 67c | 548.82$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.92 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8220…b081backed Under | 44c | 453.73$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…0935backed Over | 59c | 442.23$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.6 | 23 | 91.3%21 W · 2 L | +8.9wins | +0.39per pick | 52cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 30c | 434.35$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.22 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 8c | 312.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.5 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 15c | 303$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.33 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Over | 8c | 260$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.2 | 101 | 35.6%36 W · 65 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…4eb2backed Under | 45c | 224.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 38c | 204.55$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.79 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc2…8b9bbacked Over | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d3…5554backed Over | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.5 | 73 | 9.6%7 W · 66 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 72c | 179.51$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.41 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf9…d602backed Over | 72c | 175$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Over | 8c | 132.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.67 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3968…85b5backed Over | 25c | 132.39$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.95 | 33 | 78.8%26 W · 7 L | +8.2wins | +0.25per pick | 54cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 39c | 129.62$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.55 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 45c | 126.89$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.31 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 76c | 92$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.08 | 205 | 72.2%148 W · 57 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…4333backed Over | 45c | 89.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.26 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +4.8wins | +0.20per pick | 59cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 32c | 73.78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 323 | 50.2%162 W · 161 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 52c | 48.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +9.1wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0536…c50bbacked Under | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 78c | 40.67$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Under | 57c | 38.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 210 | 36.7%77 W · 133 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9786…1e9abacked Over | 41c | 29.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.52 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 40c | 28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 60c | 27.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed Over | 46c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -9.3wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 54c | 19.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 80c | 19.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…af29backed Over | 60c | 17.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +9.1wins | +0.28per pick | 48cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 72c | 17.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.81 | 347 | 60.8%211 W · 136 L | +33.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mjallby AIF vs. IK Sirius: O/U 5.5this page
- Mjallby AIF vs. IK Sirius: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Mjallby AIF vs. IK Sirius: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Mjallby AIF vs. IK Sirius: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Mjallby AIF vs. IK Sirius: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Mjallby AIF vs. IK Sirius: O/U 0.5Over won
- Mjallby AIF vs. IK Sirius: O/U 1.5Over won
- Mjallby AIF vs. IK Sirius: O/U 2.5Over won
- Mjallby AIF vs. IK Sirius: O/U 3.5Over won
- Mjallby AIF vs. IK Sirius: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: IK Sirius (-1.5)Mjallby AIF won
- Spread: IK Sirius (-2.5)Mjallby AIF won
- Spread: Mjallby AIF (-1.5)IK Sirius won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.