Other European Leagues · resolved market
Sandefjord Fotball vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0fb7916050deaef7548f523f0ddbbc0257cdc40415f46af28b811f78c0d8453d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,644
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,103
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,644 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked Over | 50c | 2,544$1,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,271.77 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 40c | 2,195$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.66 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 42c | 1,263$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.64 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 35c | 1,227$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.32 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 56c | 932.4$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.42 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…925dbacked Over | 76c | 921.01$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.04 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f39…311abacked Over | 43c | 600$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.8 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 44c | 565.61$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.61 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 41c | 197.57$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.46 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2e…0b95backed Over | 79c | 127.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…6ca8backed Over | 79c | 127.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.22 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 48c | 125.53$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.34 | 338 | 53.3%180 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb026…9c7bbacked Under | 14c | 123.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +5.4wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…44b7backed Over | 50c | 110$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 29c | 106.42$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.23 | 110 | 22.7%25 W · 85 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f14…b567backed Under | 66c | 75.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Under | 46c | 46.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 34c | 37.83$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.97 | 233 | 46.8%109 W · 124 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Under | 40c | 37.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 210 | 36.7%77 W · 133 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Under | 40c | 36.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 32c | 32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 323 | 50.2%162 W · 161 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 45c | 28.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Under | 59c | 27.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 57c | 23.29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sandefjord Fotball vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 1.5this page
- Sandefjord Fotball vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Sandefjord Fotball vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 2.5Over won
- Sandefjord Fotball vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sandefjord Fotball vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 4.5Under won
- Sandefjord Fotball vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-1.5)FK Bodø/Glimt won
- Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-2.5)FK Bodø/Glimt won
- Spread: Sandefjord Fotball (-1.5)FK Bodø/Glimt won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.