Other European Leagues · resolved market
Sandefjord Fotball vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x478eef84224d02437da564f633180c5e142d54be8fe6ef62c815078a26803fa4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,558
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,896
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,558 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb809…2004backed Under | 51c | 16,524$8,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,136.89 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 49c | 12,932$6,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,336.7 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e5…9105backed Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 11c | 3,924$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.66 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 40c | 1,631$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.79 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 50c | 691.46$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.34 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d4…23e8backed Under | 53c | 638.54$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.71 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Over | 27c | 523.21$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.98 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 50c | 459.28$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.64 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1be7…a6e3backed Under | 47c | 444.01$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.83 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Under | 73c | 441.17$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.12 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | +12.8wins | +0.16per pick | 16cpaid | +246%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…4eb2backed Under | 47c | 422.32$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.32 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaee…2fffbacked Under | 54c | 411.02$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.02 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 47c | 332.48$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.35 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ff…8a60backed Under | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c09…f399backed Over | 47c | 290$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.1 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5af3…1534backed Over | 73c | 274.13$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 100 | 54%54 W · 46 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 6c | 241.72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 17c | 240.96$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.96 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 7c | 225.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39e7…ceedbacked Under | 51c | 196.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.51 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +10.8wins | +0.20per pick | 38cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 73c | 116$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 110 | 22.7%25 W · 85 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 47c | 113.64$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.54 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf15…a1febacked Under | 51c | 92.59$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.37 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Over | 14c | 87.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 47c | 82.64$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.84 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2713…43b2backed Under | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 48c | 72.56$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.78 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…bc0dbacked Over | 27c | 67.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadbc…8af3backed Over | 46c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43cd…cc1bbacked Over | 48c | 59.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 50c | 59.79$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc11d…0123backed Under | 51c | 59.61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.21 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Under | 52c | 55.77$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.77 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 50c | 55.1$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.55 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 50c | 51.88$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.94 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 27c | 42.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87fe…03cebacked Under | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +23%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Over | 49c | 33.78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 48c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 370 | 49.5%183 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d4…7c0dbacked Over | 50c | 20.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099c…e42cbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44dc…802dbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sandefjord Fotball vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 3.5this page
- Sandefjord Fotball vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Sandefjord Fotball vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sandefjord Fotball vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 2.5Over won
- Sandefjord Fotball vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 4.5Under won
- Sandefjord Fotball vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-1.5)FK Bodø/Glimt won
- Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-2.5)FK Bodø/Glimt won
- Spread: Sandefjord Fotball (-1.5)FK Bodø/Glimt won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.