Other European Leagues · resolved market
SK Brann vs. Rosenborg BK: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa198af518aa85e86aa96d51f3b31e1c12e0c5695a909987f55d2b9e75e5fa6d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,928
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,720
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,928 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1a22…7b00backed Over | 64c | 15,739$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,738.7 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 37c | 8,697$3,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,238.8 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 64c | 5,610$3,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,026.56 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…44b7backed Over | 61c | 4,691$2,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,841.24 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 44c | 4,389$1,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,931.98 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 37c | 4,000$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 37c | 3,906$1,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,427.11 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 36c | 3,072$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.92 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 34c | 3,007$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.92 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 36c | 2,953$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.56 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 53c | 2,393$1,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.7 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 63c | 2,188$1,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.56 | 211 | 51.7%109 W · 102 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 37c | 2,100$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…4eb2backed Under | 45c | 1,781$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe12e…bb43backed Over | 57c | 1,666$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba57…1e84backed Over | 64c | 1,415$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.22 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 36c | 1,369$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.59 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 37c | 1,151$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.87 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a8f…e5f5backed Over | 44c | 999.95$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.97 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4d…be6fbacked Under | 42c | 714.9$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…e7e0backed Over | 57c | 700$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39e7…ceedbacked Under | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +10.8wins | +0.20per pick | 38cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba1…88c1backed Over | 63c | 380.95$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.95 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 54c | 360.13$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.85 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 43c | 350.04$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.34 | 248 | 51.6%128 W · 120 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Over | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Over | 62c | 274.19$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.19 | 112 | 37.5%42 W · 70 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 6c | 258.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 110 | 22.7%25 W · 85 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Over | 62c | 250.61$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.23 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…85fbbacked Under | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Under | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 220 | 62.3%137 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 43c | 157.32$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.65 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 37c | 156.66$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.55 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 52c | 153.53$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.17 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 37c | 151.88$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.85 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…002fbacked Over | 56c | 120.97$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.23 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked Over | 78c | 118.94$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Under | 36c | 115.45$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.22 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +11.8wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 44c | 114.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.73 | 305 | 50.8%155 W · 150 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 37c | 102.62$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.97 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5519…f7e1backed Over | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc36…0665backed Over | 58c | 99.97$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.99 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -4.6wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 35c | 99.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.22 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 36c | 90.59$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.61 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…07e8backed Over | 57c | 86.05$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.05 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…1cf3backed Over | 64c | 85.94$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.94 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 45c | 80.59$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.86 | 339 | 59%200 W · 139 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Over | 64c | 76.29$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.46 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe121…30b9backed Over | 70c | 70.94$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.44 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Under | 44c | 59.11$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c27…54f2backed Under | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 46c | 53.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 37c | 49.01$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79d…0289backed Over | 65c | 47.69$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.69 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 34c | 47.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb730…e9c2backed Over | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Under | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 210 | 36.7%77 W · 133 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 48c | 43.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.65 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Under | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 183 | 44.3%81 W · 102 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Under | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 47c | 40.54$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.47 | 323 | 50.2%162 W · 161 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.37 | 338 | 53.3%180 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd31a…77aabacked Over | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc1…eebebacked Under | 53c | 37.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x345c…b59dbacked Over | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 54c | 35.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +7.6wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb305…a400backed Over | 69c | 31.88$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9735…db39backed Over | 57c | 31.58$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadd8…53c9backed Under | 47c | 30.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…167dbacked Over | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Over | 56c | 28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9c…4a23backed Under | 44c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Over | 69c | 20.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.41 | 99 | 68.7%68 W · 31 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x250f…4fc6backed Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Over | 62c | 17.39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.68 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Over | 64c | 15.78$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.68 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SK Brann vs. Rosenborg BK: O/U 2.5this page
- SK Brann vs. Rosenborg BK: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- SK Brann vs. Rosenborg BK: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- SK Brann vs. Rosenborg BK: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- SK Brann vs. Rosenborg BK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SK Brann vs. Rosenborg BK: O/U 0.5Over won
- SK Brann vs. Rosenborg BK: O/U 1.5Over won
- SK Brann vs. Rosenborg BK: O/U 3.5Over won
- SK Brann vs. Rosenborg BK: O/U 4.5Over won
- SK Brann vs. Rosenborg BK: O/U 5.5Under won
- SK Brann vs. Rosenborg BK: Rosenborg BK 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- SK Brann vs. Rosenborg BK: Rosenborg BK O/U 1.5Over won
- Spread: Rosenborg BK (-1.5)SK Brann won
- Spread: Rosenborg BK (-2.5)SK Brann won
- Spread: SK Brann (-1.5)Rosenborg BK won
- Spread: SK Brann (-2.5)Rosenborg BK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.