Other European Leagues · resolved market
SK Brann vs. Rosenborg BK: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x36e34ef0abb1bcc02954f95c25eaaee7bd79d05f74ebda87095d988868e5a7bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,686
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,901
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,686 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 65c | 8,360$5,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,434.31 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 33c | 8,348$2,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,624.53 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…4633backed Under | 78c | 3,836$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a8f…e5f5backed Under | 54c | 3,000$1,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,634.9 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 22c | 2,580$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,016.16 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a22…7b00backed Over | 49c | 2,036$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.72 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed Under | 51c | 1,886$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.54 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 18c | 1,761$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.86 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 52c | 1,600$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 30c | 1,526$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.64 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under | 53c | 1,390$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.7 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 17c | 999.99$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.99 | 100 | 31%31 W · 69 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 77c | 989.48$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.9 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 11c | 490.65$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.68 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 23c | 303.48$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.68 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8bc…1523backed Over | 22c | 240$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 30cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac86…985bbacked Under | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Over | 23c | 134.91$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.88 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +11.8wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…85fbbacked Under | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 40c | 119$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.82 | 338 | 53.3%180 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac48…e505backed Over | 12c | 102.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.57 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.19per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Over | 23c | 80$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Over | 44c | 74.09$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.81 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Over | 25c | 71.7$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.82 | 248 | 51.6%128 W · 120 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 27c | 62.17$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.14 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa416…63f4backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +80.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 50c | 44.11$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.09 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Under | 27c | 43.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 61 | 4.9%3 W · 58 L | -17.3wins | -0.28per pick | 33cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 28-0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc8…a613backed Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -8.7wins | -0.31per pick | 49cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Under | 75c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x345c…b59dbacked Under | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Over | 43c | 28.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 244 | 66%161 W · 83 L | +15.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd0…c747backed Under | 65c | 26.12$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 45c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 323 | 50.2%162 W · 161 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d9…1059backed Over | 50c | 21.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 87 | 58.6%51 W · 36 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Over | 50c | 20.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ed…a4f5backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 79c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.98 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 77c | 17.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 273 | 60.8%166 W · 107 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb9…c170backed Under | 80c | 12.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 47 | 89.4%42 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 80cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SK Brann vs. Rosenborg BK: O/U 4.5this page
- SK Brann vs. Rosenborg BK: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- SK Brann vs. Rosenborg BK: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- SK Brann vs. Rosenborg BK: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- SK Brann vs. Rosenborg BK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SK Brann vs. Rosenborg BK: O/U 0.5Over won
- SK Brann vs. Rosenborg BK: O/U 1.5Over won
- SK Brann vs. Rosenborg BK: O/U 2.5Over won
- SK Brann vs. Rosenborg BK: O/U 3.5Over won
- SK Brann vs. Rosenborg BK: O/U 5.5Under won
- SK Brann vs. Rosenborg BK: Rosenborg BK 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- SK Brann vs. Rosenborg BK: Rosenborg BK O/U 1.5Over won
- Spread: Rosenborg BK (-1.5)SK Brann won
- Spread: Rosenborg BK (-2.5)SK Brann won
- Spread: SK Brann (-1.5)Rosenborg BK won
- Spread: SK Brann (-2.5)Rosenborg BK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.