Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: SK Brann (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc42d1f09bf2df2965946c996c7e75fcc64468758d37e2669a0cbdd7048a77c7f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rosenborg BKof SK Brann, Rosenborg BK
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,613
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,798
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,613 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x39e7…ceedbacked SK Brann | 26c | 769.42$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +10.8wins | +0.20per pick | 38cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed SK Brann | 8c | 390.24$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.37 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked SK Brann | 26c | 381.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 112 | 37.5%42 W · 70 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Rosenborg BK | 74c | 339.75$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.61 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3743…7bc1backed Rosenborg BK | 74c | 202.7$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.7 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.23per pick | 61cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed SK Brann | 26c | 170.76$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.75 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed SK Brann | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +183.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed SK Brann | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 187 | 40.1%75 W · 112 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed SK Brann | 25c | 89.05$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed SK Brann | 25c | 67.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 370 | 49.5%183 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Rosenborg BK | 75c | 53.94$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed SK Brann | 26c | 52.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Rosenborg BK | 75c | 45$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.06 | 248 | 51.6%128 W · 120 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a86…0079backed SK Brann | 25c | 42.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed SK Brann | 26c | 41.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78d8…cffcbacked Rosenborg BK | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Rosenborg BK | 75c | 28.44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 305 | 50.8%155 W · 150 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Rosenborg BK | 75c | 20.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 339 | 59%200 W · 139 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Rosenborg BK | 69c | 16.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 110 | 22.7%25 W · 85 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: SK Brann (-1.5)this page
- SK Brann vs. Rosenborg BK: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- SK Brann vs. Rosenborg BK: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- SK Brann vs. Rosenborg BK: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- SK Brann vs. Rosenborg BK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SK Brann vs. Rosenborg BK: O/U 0.5Over won
- SK Brann vs. Rosenborg BK: O/U 1.5Over won
- SK Brann vs. Rosenborg BK: O/U 2.5Over won
- SK Brann vs. Rosenborg BK: O/U 3.5Over won
- SK Brann vs. Rosenborg BK: O/U 4.5Over won
- SK Brann vs. Rosenborg BK: O/U 5.5Under won
- SK Brann vs. Rosenborg BK: Rosenborg BK 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- SK Brann vs. Rosenborg BK: Rosenborg BK O/U 1.5Over won
- Spread: Rosenborg BK (-1.5)SK Brann won
- Spread: Rosenborg BK (-2.5)SK Brann won
- Spread: SK Brann (-2.5)Rosenborg BK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.