Cricket · resolved market
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Gujarat Titans - Who wins the toss?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x80fc6ff1b16357ef0a423c701d0c33d645e656136d4c86e5e33e3385e1b96efe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rajasthan Royalsof Rajasthan Royals, Gujarat Titans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,441
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,645
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,441 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f9f…a024backed Gujarat Titans | 3c | 2,889$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked Gujarat Titans | 52c | 789.22$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.16 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32c6…7eafbacked Rajasthan Royals | 4c | 517.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.95 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x276b…c0c8backed Gujarat Titans | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 11cpaid | +179.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa918…e3b7backed Rajasthan Royals | 50c | 399.95$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.98 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +24%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5192…df62backed Gujarat Titans | 10c | 389.5$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.95 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea8…47aabacked Rajasthan Royals | 46c | 379.93$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.16 | 215 | 40.9%88 W · 127 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b66…02edbacked Gujarat Titans | 49c | 229.93$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.87 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4afa…0a13backed Rajasthan Royals | 54c | 215.28$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.7 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb5b…7401backed Gujarat Titans | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…3206backed Gujarat Titans | 49c | 115.31$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.5 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeac2…6deebacked Rajasthan Royals | 51c | 105.51$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.7 | 102 | 43.1%44 W · 58 L | -7.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1971…acd7backed Gujarat Titans | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.05 | 126 | 56.3%71 W · 55 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5460…15b5backed Gujarat Titans | 49c | 81.1$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9af1…df2cbacked Rajasthan Royals | 47c | 54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 111 | 34.2%38 W · 73 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8739…8d70backed Rajasthan Royals | 80c | 47.39$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…562cbacked Rajasthan Royals | 53c | 46.97$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.97 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8316…6857backed Gujarat Titans | 50c | 45.3$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.82 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21fa…53cdbacked Rajasthan Royals | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 79 | 65.8%52 W · 27 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x94f4…a74fbacked Rajasthan Royals | 53c | 30.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d9e…4f07backed Gujarat Titans | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Rajasthan Royals | 38c | 28.39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.66 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd9…a49ebacked Gujarat Titans | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44d4…b753backed Gujarat Titans | 50c | 27.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa970…d60dbacked Gujarat Titans | 49c | 25.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8192…0664backed Gujarat Titans | 50c | 22.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xede1…a017backed Rajasthan Royals | 51c | 21.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa967…f0b4backed Gujarat Titans | 51c | 21.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e3…f804backed Rajasthan Royals | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8183…dd5bbacked Rajasthan Royals | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Gujarat Titans - Who wins the toss?this page
- Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Gujarat TitansGujarat Titans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.