Asian League · resolved market
Will Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Gamba Ōsaka end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a15eca441ba75bec95b0e921d64c85dfbc65580e5bfb617fdc76dd79dd1a13c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,375
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,527
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,375 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 59c | 5,915$3,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,425.03 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 43c | 3,737$1,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590.59 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 45c | 2,551$1,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,152.56 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Yes | 33c | 2,195$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.7 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.98 | 243 | 23%56 W · 187 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 56c | 1,927$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.82 | 2,499 | 42.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L | +52.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes | 41c | 1,914$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.72 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 69c | 1,607$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.09 | 1,707 | 50.6%863 W · 844 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 69c | 1,291$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.36 | 2,397 | 37.8%905 W · 1,492 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked No | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 57c | 710.48$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.21 | 279 | 64.9%181 W · 98 L | +28.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 22c | 466.28$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.15 | 283 | 32.5%92 W · 191 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 69c | 367.98$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.07 | 1,760 | 50.3%885 W · 875 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 79c | 330.15$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.38 | 922 | 35.1%324 W · 598 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Yes | 31c | 325.19$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d63…2e49backed No | 71c | 319.27$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.59 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +116%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1c…8408backed No | 70c | 315.71$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.71 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…2a39backed Yes | 33c | 305.48$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc1…1efbbacked Yes | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1017…c669backed No | 71c | 285.85$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.69 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 17c | 283.15$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.98 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 11c | 279.83$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.61 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 70c | 263.52$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.16 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…55bebacked Yes | 30c | 233.33$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae43…f595backed Yes | 20c | 213.05$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.61 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…1caabacked Yes | 42c | 202.38$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 69 | 24.6%17 W · 52 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e5…b254backed Yes | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 14c | 141.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 276 | 39.1%108 W · 168 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 58c | 137.22$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.12 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 70c | 115$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 69c | 115$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.65 | 183 | 53.6%98 W · 85 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e5…99a2backed Yes | 36c | 113.25$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4552…eac6backed No | 67c | 104.48$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.48 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc5…4626backed Yes | 32c | 102.08$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.67 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +106.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…c634backed Yes | 52c | 101.92$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1546…0ac2backed Yes | 33c | 85.91$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked No | 70c | 80$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 71c | 75.38$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.98 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Yes | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 77c | 68.75$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 72c | 63.54$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.53 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed Yes | 33c | 61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked No | 61c | 59.32$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.91 | 138 | 61.6%85 W · 53 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4254…1d02backed Yes | 34c | 52.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked No | 43c | 43.88$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.85 | 156 | 71.8%112 W · 44 L | +33.6wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 70c | 42.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 126 | 60.3%76 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 80c | 41.57$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 1,053 | 41.9%441 W · 612 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed No | 66c | 37.87$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 188 | 38.8%73 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 39c | 36.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa970…d60dbacked Yes | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb82f…9e1cbacked Yes | 39c | 35.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a0…49c4backed Yes | 53c | 34.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Yes | 52c | 33.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 69c | 32.9$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 1,214 | 50.2%610 W · 604 L | +12.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 69c | 32.26$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,101 | 49.7%547 W · 554 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…2184backed No | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada6…9447backed No | 69c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa636…dfe9backed No | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed No | 64c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Yes | 54c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 76c | 23.22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.59 | 582 | 43%250 W · 332 L | -26.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 52c | 21.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.06 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 60c | 19.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 75c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 720 | 44.2%318 W · 402 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked No | 65c | 16.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.79 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7983…c138backed No | 66c | 15.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Gamba Ōsaka end in a draw?this page
- Will Gamba Ōsaka win on 2026-05-24?Yes won
- Will Shimizu S-Pulse win on 2026-05-24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.