Cricket · resolved market
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Delhi Capitals - Who wins the toss?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc13bcc506f2446f10c51e580c78f8df8119b54b24a11faba6bb4e76f0e74783f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Delhi Capitalsof Punjab Kings, Delhi Capitals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,738
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,077
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,738 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7440…aca9backed Delhi Capitals | 49c | 4,640$2,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,357.88 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Punjab Kings | 51c | 3,669$1,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,871.15 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0c…ca14backed Punjab Kings | 51c | 1,090$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.51 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +12.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +23%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x69a6…4b30backed Punjab Kings | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 157 | 42.7%67 W · 90 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8275…a9aebacked Delhi Capitals | 49c | 485.2$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.05 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe393…7804backed Punjab Kings | 49c | 477.11$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.96 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2478…2e62backed Delhi Capitals | 48c | 445.27$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.73 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…412dbacked Delhi Capitals | 51c | 421.97$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.77 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa967…f0b4backed Punjab Kings | 8c | 400$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4afa…0a13backed Punjab Kings | 52c | 378.77$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.96 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa970…d60dbacked Delhi Capitals | 48c | 226$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.52 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8192…0664backed Punjab Kings | 19c | 198.82$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574f…3462backed Punjab Kings | 8c | 194.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8739…8d70backed Punjab Kings | 27c | 193.17$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd841…64cabacked Punjab Kings | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d8…1ca6backed Punjab Kings | 51c | 156.86$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x207b…8118backed Delhi Capitals | 51c | 126.96$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.21 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…562cbacked Delhi Capitals | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5460…15b5backed Delhi Capitals | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfea8…47aabacked Delhi Capitals | 45c | 92.49$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.87 | 215 | 40.9%88 W · 127 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef9…4665backed Delhi Capitals | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4d…066dbacked Delhi Capitals | 51c | 76.47$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.47 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeac2…6deebacked Punjab Kings | 51c | 64.71$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 102 | 43.1%44 W · 58 L | -7.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9af1…df2cbacked Punjab Kings | 51c | 49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 111 | 34.2%38 W · 73 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7dc…6c2cbacked Punjab Kings | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb565…8cdfbacked Delhi Capitals | 50c | 41.83$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.83 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2b…5750backed Punjab Kings | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0494…0cb3backed Delhi Capitals | 50c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Delhi Capitals | 51c | 35.25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.27 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf972…4788backed Delhi Capitals | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +7.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21fa…53cdbacked Delhi Capitals | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 79 | 65.8%52 W · 27 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8183…dd5bbacked Delhi Capitals | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94f4…a74fbacked Delhi Capitals | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d9e…4f07backed Delhi Capitals | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x799a…f4d0backed Delhi Capitals | 51c | 20.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0833…c18ebacked Punjab Kings | 52c | 20.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecdd…abbbbacked Delhi Capitals | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf17d…ad92backed Punjab Kings | 53c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Delhi Capitals - Who wins the toss?this page
- Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Delhi CapitalsDelhi Capitals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.