NFL · resolved market
Jets vs. Dolphins: O/U 44.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06a0f7b148eb3d156e204a82d0ebb929987d267477a0bd054e9b104f32752dfb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $374,068
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $395,496
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $374,068 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Under | 51c | 121,882$62,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62,736.02 | 418 | 51.9%217 W · 201 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Over | 48c | 64,229$30,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,399 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Over | 47c | 60,000$28,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,799.97 | 105 | 66.7%70 W · 35 L | +12.6wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Over | 48c | 44,467$21,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,900.59 | 245 | 51%125 W · 120 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcc…441bbacked Under | 53c | 37,982$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Under | 53c | 26,016$13,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,664.38 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Under | 53c | 20,000$10,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,600 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Under | 53c | 20,000$10,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,600 | 246 | 52%128 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Under | 53c | 17,744$9,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,400.7 | 419 | 47.3%198 W · 221 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Over | 47c | 13,676$6,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,248.18 | 174 | 54.6%95 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 47c | 10,103$4,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,396.01 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Over | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…69fdbacked Over | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,300 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Over | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Under | 53c | 9,964$5,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,280.83 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd14a…e912backed Over | 48c | 9,000$4,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,650 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Under | 52c | 8,961$4,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,659.5 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Over | 47c | 7,500$3,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,977.23 | 611 | 48.6%297 W · 314 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Over | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Over | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Over | 48c | 4,997$2,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,598.44 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +103.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 49c | 4,879$2,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,469.26 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Under | 54c | 4,630$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 257 | 44.4%114 W · 143 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 52c | 4,454$2,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,323.4 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Over | 48c | 4,154$1,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160.16 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7784…5b6dbacked Over | 48c | 4,154$1,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160.08 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 54c | 4,056$2,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,877.53 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Under | 53c | 3,680$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950.37 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 48c | 3,470$1,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,817 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Over | 48c | 3,232$1,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680.75 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4762…ba70backed Under | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Over | 48c | 2,800$1,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,456 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Over | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd62b…86d0backed Under | 53c | 2,453$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc426…20b4backed Over | 48c | 2,114$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +110.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 51c | 1,967$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.67 | 236 | 47%111 W · 125 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb511…dedfbacked Over | 48c | 1,667$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.67 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf35e…94cabacked Over | 49c | 1,563$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.07 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Under | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.99 | 266 | 48.9%130 W · 136 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c61…5213backed Under | 54c | 1,387$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked Over | 48c | 1,094$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Over | 48c | 1,094$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.88 | 397 | 54.4%216 W · 181 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…c3b9backed Under | 53c | 900$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 49c | 744$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.44 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Over | 25c | 684.91$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.68 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bc…9dc9backed Over | 51c | 627.45$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.45 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a03…47c1backed Over | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.91 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 415 | 40.2%167 W · 248 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Over | 49c | 497.97$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.38 | 412 | 48.5%200 W · 212 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x019e…af1dbacked Over | 48c | 496.99$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.71 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7f…824bbacked Over | 48c | 437.5$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.5 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +4.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 52c | 432.46$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.57 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf48d…fe48backed Over | 37c | 408$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.16 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 48c | 333.33$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.33 | 280 | 47.5%133 W · 147 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Over | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Under | 54c | 231.48$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e64…7308backed Over | 48c | 229.17$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.17 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 48c | 210$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 553 | 45%249 W · 304 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f4…7942backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb6…25eabacked Over | 50c | 203.8$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.9 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed Over | 48c | 200$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | -10.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Over | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35e3…68b9backed Under | 59c | 149.15$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 49c | 140$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.4 | 594 | 53.7%319 W · 275 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2954…d34ebacked Over | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…d4d8backed Over | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e8…ea32backed Under | 53c | 115.09$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d41…708cbacked Under | 54c | 109.11$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.92 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3846…3b9abacked Over | 48c | 106$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.12 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d4…bbeebacked Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe611…0ae4backed Over | 56c | 101.79$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.79 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc739…e7abbacked Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 174 | 59.2%103 W · 71 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc72d…320fbacked Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c61…2d7ebacked Over | 46c | 98.8$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Over | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 198 | 44.9%89 W · 109 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfd…3462backed Under | 51c | 77.87$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Over | 48c | 75$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 205 | 42%86 W · 119 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 46c | 53.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.54 | 276 | 44.2%122 W · 154 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…9c02backed Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a59…e94cbacked Under | 61c | 41.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.62 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe914…1707backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed Over | 48c | 41.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 145 | 50.3%73 W · 72 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb406…4964backed Over | 48c | 41.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.58 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb4…4961backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.33per pick | 56cpaid | +63%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb6cc…18cebacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb3…5874backed Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75b5…a1f2backed Under | 54c | 37.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12ff…f464backed Over | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a45…36dcbacked Under | 53c | 30.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffa…c0cabacked Under | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Under | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 177 | 41.8%74 W · 103 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc02…958abacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jets vs. Dolphins: O/U 44.5this page
- Jets vs. DolphinsDolphins won
- Jets vs. Dolphins: O/U 42.5Over won
- Jets vs. Dolphins: O/U 45.5Over won
- Jets vs. Dolphins: O/U 47.5Over won
- Jets vs. Dolphins: O/U 49.5Under won
- Spread: Dolphins (-1.5)Dolphins won
- Spread: Dolphins (-2.5)Dolphins won
- Spread: Dolphins (-3.5)Dolphins won
- Spread: Dolphins (-4.5)Dolphins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.