Earnings · resolved market
Will Howard Hughes Holdings (HHH) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb10607e3aa02df62c6446441347a4a4beea3043d6828f8d431387d9f102f91e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,159
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,895
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,159 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed No | 30c | 648.66$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.91 | 207 | 29.5%61 W · 146 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes | 66c | 394.24$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.69 | 768 | 37.4%287 W · 481 L | +35.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c0…be99backed Yes | 71c | 319$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.07 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked No | 27c | 284.85$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.79 | 172 | 26.7%46 W · 126 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x470d…b463backed No | 51c | 238$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.4 | 75 | 61.3%46 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 29c | 199.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 676 | 42.9%290 W · 386 L | -36.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e3…f4a0backed No | 15c | 199.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc92d…2339backed Yes | 75c | 153$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7d…d6ebbacked No | 30c | 140$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +100.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a0a…9229backed Yes | 75c | 133$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.25 | 115 | 66.1%76 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 17c | 119.37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 464 | 14.2%66 W · 398 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c66…31e3backed Yes | 69c | 111$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.41 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5d…9ea3backed Yes | 70c | 110.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 107 | 60.7%65 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54fd…4ac3backed No | 25c | 103$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.75 | 68 | 67.6%46 W · 22 L | +8.5wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 290 | 24.1%70 W · 220 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b91…2709backed No | 17c | 99.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 82 | 67.1%55 W · 27 L | +11.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8d…13b7backed No | 28c | 93.79$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d7…4d00backed Yes | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 213 | 57.3%122 W · 91 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0509…6e98backed No | 21c | 77.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 203 | 31.5%64 W · 139 L | -14.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58c0…1c8ebacked Yes | 69c | 77.35$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.75 | 218 | 61%133 W · 85 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x899c…ed9abacked Yes | 71c | 75.35$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.85 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x718a…5d86backed Yes | 74c | 73.71$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.16 | 47 | 74.5%35 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9038…b34fbacked Yes | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd0…53b4backed Yes | 72c | 44.72$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 86 | 34.9%30 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad8…69c9backed No | 27c | 44.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…ced0backed Yes | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…2019backed Yes | 80c | 38.09$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 63c | 36.66$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 218 | 20.2%44 W · 174 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7537…4004backed Yes | 74c | 35.79$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf80…9f77backed Yes | 75c | 35.36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…32a6backed Yes | 75c | 30.49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ade…1bc2backed Yes | 75c | 30.49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfced…3d4ebacked Yes | 74c | 29.63$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ab…a600backed Yes | 75c | 29.27$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7b…a004backed Yes | 75c | 28.05$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2995…1b58backed Yes | 75c | 28.05$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe282…16f0backed Yes | 74c | 27.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9118…c706backed Yes | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 74cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead6…11f4backed Yes | 74c | 25.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 79c | 25.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.34 | 263 | 34.6%91 W · 172 L | -14.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c23…96d5backed Yes | 75c | 24.39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x211f…8e0fbacked Yes | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9fe…f3bcbacked Yes | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ca…766cbacked Yes | 74c | 18.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.