CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: FOLHA AMARELA vs Crashers - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba0501d3b2fc8d15994613c5ce1b8cf3e758dc66612260b8730884069a907d01
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FOLHA AMARELAof FOLHA AMARELA, Crashers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,156
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,156 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked FOLHA AMARELA | 64c | 1,016$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.3 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb03a…ceddbacked Crashers | 37c | 781.67$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.22 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca82…fcfebacked FOLHA AMARELA | 68c | 710.96$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.51 | 149 | 71.8%107 W · 42 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x928a…8044backed Crashers | 39c | 603.14$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.19 | 203 | 58.6%119 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked Crashers | 39c | 555$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.45 | 97 | 39.2%38 W · 59 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed FOLHA AMARELA | 61c | 413.21$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.65 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed FOLHA AMARELA | 55c | 403.49$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.49 | 529 | 47.1%249 W · 280 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Crashers | 39c | 298$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.31 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed Crashers | 43c | 269.43$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.52 | 432 | 39.1%169 W · 263 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked FOLHA AMARELA | 68c | 228.32$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.03 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Crashers | 34c | 202.13$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.71 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Crashers | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c29…fb0bbacked FOLHA AMARELA | 61c | 165.62$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -56%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x912e…0eaebacked FOLHA AMARELA | 69c | 141.53$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.87 | 364 | 34.1%124 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf248…72bfbacked FOLHA AMARELA | 76c | 132.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.33 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x106f…d28fbacked Crashers | 20c | 124.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.69 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +6.8wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9a01backed FOLHA AMARELA | 61c | 111$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.29 | 439 | 33.7%148 W · 291 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc7…613ebacked Crashers | 76c | 110.37$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.27 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Crashers | 44c | 80.64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.26 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Crashers | 41c | 80$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9d…69fbbacked Crashers | 61c | 66.37$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.39 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8c…2e0dbacked Crashers | 37c | 50.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Crashers | 27c | 48.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a7…0e7ebacked Crashers | 52c | 42.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked Crashers | 32c | 38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 464 | 47.6%221 W · 243 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc093…de0ebacked Crashers | 35c | 34.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c08…3704backed Crashers | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x832a…c9febacked Crashers | 70c | 32.05$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c47…e9bebacked Crashers | 47c | 30.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7027…fababacked FOLHA AMARELA | 62c | 24.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.08 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5247…55f2backed FOLHA AMARELA | 58c | 21.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 66cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7f…5c3cbacked Crashers | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: FOLHA AMARELA vs Crashers - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: FOLHA AMARELA vs Crashers (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group StageFOLHA AMARELA won
- Counter-Strike: FOLHA AMARELA vs Crashers - Map 2 WinnerFOLHA AMARELA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.