CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: FOLHA AMARELA vs Crashers - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a08fcfa85dc4d1a35758b7bcd62cc92fcf338252aec2969bb76b8aa39060966
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FOLHA AMARELAof FOLHA AMARELA, Crashers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,012
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,012 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x928a…8044backed Crashers | 39c | 1,327$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.68 | 203 | 58.6%119 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked Crashers | 38c | 1,222$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.36 | 97 | 39.2%38 W · 59 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed FOLHA AMARELA | 63c | 925.18$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.97 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed Crashers | 33c | 921.88$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.51 | 246 | 41.9%103 W · 143 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked FOLHA AMARELA | 62c | 746.63$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.46 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed FOLHA AMARELA | 61c | 574.26$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.15 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Crashers | 37c | 316.03$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.57 | 148 | 39.2%58 W · 90 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked FOLHA AMARELA | 58c | 280.46$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.47 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked FOLHA AMARELA | 63c | 266.01$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.38 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Crashers | 43c | 220.63$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.77 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed FOLHA AMARELA | 70c | 218.09$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.67 | 529 | 47.1%249 W · 280 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed FOLHA AMARELA | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.6 | 392 | 45.9%180 W · 212 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Crashers | 33c | 179.03$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.38 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc7…613ebacked Crashers | 46c | 177.8$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.14 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c29…fb0bbacked FOLHA AMARELA | 63c | 169.32$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.4 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -56%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed FOLHA AMARELA | 53c | 162.78$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.13 | 280 | 46.8%131 W · 149 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Crashers | 39c | 156$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.45 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x106f…d28fbacked Crashers | 46c | 107.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.63 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +6.8wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…de0fbacked Crashers | 41c | 97.55$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 157 | 60.5%95 W · 62 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeb24…fad9backed FOLHA AMARELA | 44c | 87$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.72 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked FOLHA AMARELA | 52c | 79.61$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.54 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Crashers | 29c | 52.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +4.8wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Crashers | 36c | 47.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Crashers | 43c | 40.34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 178 | 36.5%65 W · 113 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3a…f788backed Crashers | 43c | 37.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 163 | 38.7%63 W · 100 L | -13.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca6…3841backed Crashers | 41c | 35.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed FOLHA AMARELA | 63c | 33.62$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x832a…c9febacked FOLHA AMARELA | 63c | 17.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.34 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: FOLHA AMARELA vs Crashers - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: FOLHA AMARELA vs Crashers (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group StageFOLHA AMARELA won
- Counter-Strike: FOLHA AMARELA vs Crashers - Map 1 WinnerFOLHA AMARELA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.