NBA · resolved market
76ers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 234.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4f62e3cd889dde094ee67e7b8f8d3192e3bb58eedd54cd0d03f1eda812840c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,400
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,511
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,400 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3151…0977backed Over | 52c | 10,750$5,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,159.87 | 192 | 49.5%95 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2635…5408backed Under | 45c | 6,264$2,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,818.86 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Under | 45c | 4,355$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,959.54 | 471 | 44.2%208 W · 263 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5224…0de8backed Over | 55c | 4,355$2,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,959.54 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Under | 49c | 2,813$1,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,376.05 | 710 | 52.1%370 W · 340 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 51c | 2,200$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 49c | 1,352$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.67 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 53c | 885.76$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.75 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Over | 51c | 804$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.96 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf373…dc57backed Over | 50c | 610$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e1…dcf6backed Under | 50c | 610$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -25%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 49c | 595.59$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.84 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69bd…490cbacked Under | 51c | 273.47$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.47 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0e…5b17backed Over | 51c | 254.9$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.9 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7439…40d2backed Under | 48c | 208.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e29…0fc9backed Under | 48c | 198$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.04 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 50c | 185$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.84 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b3…4e42backed Over | 52c | 185$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +115.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…ad57backed Under | 50c | 163$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.5 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe611…0ae4backed Under | 49c | 153.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 53c | 123.06$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.84 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 346 | 45.7%158 W · 188 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 358 | 51.7%185 W · 173 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 52c | 96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.08 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bc…4d94backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 210 | 51.4%108 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 49c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 801 | 48.3%387 W · 414 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 290 | 46.9%136 W · 154 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa426…31bbbacked Under | 47c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 76ers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 234.5this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)76ers won
- 76ers vs. CavaliersCavaliers won
- 76ers vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 233.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 235.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 236.5Over won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)76ers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)Cavaliers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.