NBA · resolved market
Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3bc200cdedc461bb881cd466e467a527b8549fe9a4064c0fda2e5cb981172409
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavaliersof Cavaliers, 76ers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,851
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,239
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,851 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Cavaliers | 55c | 28,888$15,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,025.06 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Cavaliers | 54c | 25,000$13,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,529.61 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked 76ers | 45c | 13,878$6,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,288.02 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked 76ers | 45c | 10,910$4,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,943.04 | 710 | 52.1%370 W · 340 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed 76ers | 46c | 6,098$2,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,833.49 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked 76ers | 46c | 5,601$2,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,576.34 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed 76ers | 45c | 3,808$1,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,713.46 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked 76ers | 47c | 3,600$1,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,692 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Cavaliers | 53c | 3,126$1,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.35 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Cavaliers | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230 | 180 | 47.8%86 W · 94 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…1ed3backed 76ers | 45c | 2,748$1,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,236.4 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked 76ers | 46c | 2,121$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.5 | 434 | 53.2%231 W · 203 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Cavaliers | 50c | 2,100$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 471 | 44.2%208 W · 263 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Cavaliers | 53c | 2,046$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.08 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed 76ers | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed 76ers | 46c | 1,913$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.72 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked 76ers | 46c | 1,609$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked 76ers | 45c | 1,556$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.2 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked 76ers | 46c | 1,440$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.87 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed 76ers | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Cavaliers | 52c | 999.88$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.94 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked 76ers | 46c | 722.02$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.13 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed 76ers | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 381 | 51.2%195 W · 186 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Cavaliers | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 122 | 39.3%48 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabfc…0fc2backed 76ers | 48c | 257.1$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.41 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Cavaliers | 56c | 250$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ca…2c36backed 76ers | 46c | 221.74$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…9cf9backed 76ers | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked 76ers | 44c | 214.29$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.31 | 801 | 48.3%387 W · 414 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed 76ers | 47c | 196.89$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.81 | 327 | 43.4%142 W · 185 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf177…d4f9backed 76ers | 48c | 166.67$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…ad57backed 76ers | 46c | 115$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.9 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe611…0ae4backed 76ers | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x845f…4fe9backed Cavaliers | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f1e…463dbacked Cavaliers | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f70…ed4cbacked Cavaliers | 55c | 70$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed 76ers | 46c | 64.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 603 | 46.4%280 W · 323 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed 76ers | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc6…0f52backed 76ers | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe117…264dbacked 76ers | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…3183backed 76ers | 47c | 40.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac7…03efbacked 76ers | 46c | 36.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…1db8backed Cavaliers | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 199 | 57.8%115 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f6e…dce4backed Cavaliers | 55c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ba…cf4dbacked 76ers | 48c | 34.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb239…0960backed Cavaliers | 53c | 34.72$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x167c…a88bbacked 76ers | 48c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb6…3009backed Cavaliers | 51c | 24.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x858a…7b9cbacked Cavaliers | 53c | 24.15$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15e6…3beebacked 76ers | 48c | 23.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)76ers won
- 76ers vs. CavaliersCavaliers won
- 76ers vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 233.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 234.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 235.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 236.5Over won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)76ers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.