Premier League · resolved market
Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2025-11-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x599831a5c167399145c58bf8f68e45356016ab37e2e1398a9f54843537e0e278
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,155
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,043
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,155 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 29c | 20,000$5,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,200 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 78c | 10,179$7,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,919.33 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed No | 62c | 9,977$6,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,185.74 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc300…9227backed Yes | 37c | 999.76$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 39c | 450$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.22 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f9…86ecbacked Yes | 36c | 299.99$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.99 | 97 | 39.2%38 W · 59 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x443d…017fbacked Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes | 36c | 250$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 77c | 229.81$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.85 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 61c | 179.59$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.37 | 316 | 55.1%174 W · 142 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | -23.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x553b…f71cbacked Yes | 37c | 150$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a93…32a0backed Yes | 24c | 125$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 75c | 106.25$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.77 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…0730backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf316…b391backed Yes | 21c | 94.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.16 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d44…6b0abacked No | 20c | 93.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5b…b993backed No | 64c | 78.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 27c | 66.67$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.67 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 71c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked No | 64c | 43.75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 73c | 14.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 292 | 53.4%156 W · 136 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2025-11-04?this page
- Will Charlton Athletic FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC end in a draw?No won
- Will West Bromwich Albion FC win on 2025-11-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.