Champions League · resolved market
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. FC København end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb5a250a6c08d66ff71508c9981322c0a694ddc26e6ee416a1d62bd835e2c6f24
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,094
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,134
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,094 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 16c | 6,442$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.99 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 79c | 5,000$3,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdc…2c26backed Yes | 20c | 2,940$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 79c | 1,988$1,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.46 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 78c | 1,710$1,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.96 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Yes | 20c | 1,146$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3314…c66bbacked Yes | 21c | 1,143$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…002bbacked Yes | 21c | 980$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.8 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc48…e792backed Yes | 22c | 977.27$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +86.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0504…6abdbacked Yes | 23c | 710.34$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 19c | 384.34$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.02 | 190 | 28.9%55 W · 135 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaea…b079backed Yes | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 21c | 250$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 161 | 36%58 W · 103 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9921…dcb7backed Yes | 21c | 204.33$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.91 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4702…457fbacked Yes | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2791…2791backed No | 80c | 150$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +5.0wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Yes | 21c | 128.9$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.07 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +171.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x943f…d29dbacked Yes | 18c | 120$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa125…7cdfbacked Yes | 21c | 114.29$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…686cbacked Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +71.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked Yes | 21c | 104.76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f73…a5e9backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 79c | 80.95$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 149 | 52.3%78 W · 71 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…4ec4backed Yes | 19c | 80$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 78c | 76$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.72 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…6ba8backed Yes | 21c | 66.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5b…b993backed No | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 20c | 54.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 358 | 60.6%217 W · 141 L | +21.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 19c | 53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 290 | 34.5%100 W · 190 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…ab18backed No | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 33cpaid | +102.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9b…0f44backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. FC København end in a draw?this page
- Will FC København win on 2025-11-04?No won
- Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-11-04?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.