Champions League · resolved market
Will FC København win on 2025-11-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x67a8db6d3806590b6d959e7b575cd9184334389057660758ec470051c54a42c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $87,537
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,021
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,537 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc919…a162backed Yes | 14c | 18,162$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 11c | 4,500$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 112 | 18.8%21 W · 91 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…317cbacked Yes | 13c | 3,761$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 12c | 3,049$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.88 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdc…2c26backed Yes | 12c | 2,942$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 10c | 2,006$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.01 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 12c | 1,889$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.37 | 2,025 | 43.7%884 W · 1,141 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Yes | 1c | 1,858$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x521a…043abacked Yes | 12c | 1,291$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 11c | 1,022$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.5 | 139 | 27.3%38 W · 101 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc47…15d4backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +105.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…2f09backed Yes | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…1feabacked Yes | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc48…e792backed Yes | 14c | 914.29$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +86.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0504…6abdbacked Yes | 13c | 730.77$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c7…c0e2backed Yes | 14c | 720$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Yes | 4c | 474.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +60%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf39c…2bbbbacked Yes | 13c | 446.92$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1cf…9656backed Yes | 12c | 333$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 86 | 26.7%23 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 4c | 290$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 12c | 278$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.36 | 161 | 36%58 W · 103 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23d1…d15ebacked Yes | 13c | 269.08$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes | 10c | 256.45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.43 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff9…bdc5backed Yes | 13c | 192.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…4ec4backed Yes | 12c | 180$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Yes | 13c | 176.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7555…ce17backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 13c | 161$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2791…2791backed Yes | 11c | 150$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +5.0wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3d75…8e95backed Yes | 13c | 150$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 11c | 149.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 79 | 31.6%25 W · 54 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +29%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c0…4bf8backed Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a68…6525backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 12cpaid | +152.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebb4…5ecbbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb7…7998backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 46 | 15.2%7 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4a…f314backed Yes | 12c | 99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 11c | 91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 291 | 34.4%100 W · 191 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC København win on 2025-11-04?this page
- Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. FC København end in a draw?No won
- Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-11-04?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.