Premier League · resolved market
West Ham vs. Newcastle: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x994b3e66115062273b9db269008d77104fcb58430d1549db815c16ca72979d7e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,897
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,388
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,897 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x97ef…2fbebacked Over | 58c | 4,934$2,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,077.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 43c | 4,127$1,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,784.93 | 370 | 36.2%134 W · 236 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31e0…94b0backed Over | 58c | 3,800$2,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,596 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Under | 42c | 2,681$1,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,113.58 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 37c | 2,540$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.86 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Over | 70c | 2,386$1,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.8 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Under | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.98 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Under | 42c | 1,300$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Under | 48c | 800$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 197 | 29.4%58 W · 139 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Under | 45c | 699.98$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.99 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68d6…cfb9backed Over | 57c | 525.86$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.86 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7052…ba33backed Under | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…8086backed Under | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Over | 58c | 456.9$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.9 | 56 | 25%14 W · 42 L | -9.4wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 43c | 443.99$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.91 | 215 | 48.8%105 W · 110 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 62c | 439$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.82 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Over | 58c | 398$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.16 | 198 | 26.3%52 W · 146 L | -14.0wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 218 | 39.4%86 W · 132 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Under | 35c | 269.54$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.34 | 153 | 47.7%73 W · 80 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 56c | 250$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 346 | 28.6%99 W · 247 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14cf…594ebacked Under | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5b…b993backed Under | 42c | 181.8$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.36 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7f…824bbacked Over | 56c | 178.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.53 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 42c | 175.74$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.21 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3940…9e72backed Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 155 | 34.8%54 W · 101 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf32a…b9a4backed Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 57c | 169$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.67 | 395 | 61.3%242 W · 153 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x553b…f71cbacked Under | 42c | 150$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Over | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 142 | 52.8%75 W · 67 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb2…996cbacked Under | 49c | 101.02$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…93d7backed Over | 55c | 81.82$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.82 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2599…9218backed Over | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Over | 55c | 64.44$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 40c | 64.12$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.61 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Under | 42c | 61.16$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.69 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…09d1backed Over | 58c | 60.34$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc25a…f814backed Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac25…147abacked Over | 58c | 43.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.43 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e98…c16cbacked Over | 56c | 41.07$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.07 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c2…f58ebacked Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked Under | 44c | 37.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 255 | 45.5%116 W · 139 L | -18.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ea…3235backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cfd…c435backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x825a…ece6backed Under | 45c | 33.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7e…425ebacked Over | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Over | 51c | 22.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Over | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e52…59e0backed Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x123c…e814backed Over | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb76c…e164backed Over | 55c | 18.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.21 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 70cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- West Ham vs. Newcastle: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Newcastle (-0.5)West Ham won
- West Ham vs. Newcastle: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.