CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Alliance (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x086f747cccd2ae94054a2e36458eb70c36480b7d09cc93feec77b4c06dfa1694
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NIPof NIP, Alliance
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,280
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,280 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Alliance | 35c | 3,543$1,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,241.73 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked NIP | 65c | 2,733$1,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.52 | 97 | 39.2%38 W · 59 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f0…b8b9backed NIP | 61c | 2,605$1,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…3e3bbacked Alliance | 39c | 2,605$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Alliance | 38c | 2,317$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.46 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed NIP | 62c | 2,222$1,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.36 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed Alliance | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcddb…0d22backed NIP | 66c | 1,404$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.79 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Alliance | 28c | 1,307$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.95 | 503 | 40.2%202 W · 301 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe63…ebfbbacked Alliance | 34c | 1,273$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.82 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked NIP | 65c | 1,058$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.58 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -14.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked NIP | 68c | 885.99$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.3 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked NIP | 64c | 840$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.4 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae2…3b8bbacked NIP | 66c | 757$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 71cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49a8…07bfbacked Alliance | 32c | 700$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x598e…d2f0backed NIP | 66c | 653$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x757d…1496backed Alliance | 36c | 599.99$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.99 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Alliance | 35c | 565.56$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.29 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked NIP | 76c | 565.07$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.1 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…8795backed Alliance | 16c | 523.29$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.22 | 173 | 47.4%82 W · 91 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ac…a735backed Alliance | 39c | 507.05$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 244 | 29.5%72 W · 172 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa370…06fbbacked NIP | 68c | 466.23$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.23 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f4adbacked NIP | 66c | 455.39$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.39 | 190 | 47.9%91 W · 99 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Alliance | 38c | 394.64$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…dd3dbacked NIP | 68c | 388$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c4…873dbacked Alliance | 32c | 377$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked NIP | 80c | 369.07$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.16 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked NIP | 60c | 365.99$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.4 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51e6…80d2backed Alliance | 33c | 304.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.65 | 156 | 42.3%66 W · 90 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked NIP | 65c | 275.12$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.29 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08d7…ea84backed Alliance | 32c | 249$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Alliance | 21c | 237.05$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.85 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed NIP | 64c | 230$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.8 | 452 | 44.5%201 W · 251 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked NIP | 68c | 219.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.5 | 482 | 42.1%203 W · 279 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d3b…ec45backed NIP | 68c | 206$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Alliance | 7c | 205$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Alliance | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked NIP | 63c | 199.99$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 180 | 63.9%115 W · 65 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d0…be4bbacked Alliance | 32c | 192$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked NIP | 65c | 190.21$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.57 | 190 | 30.5%58 W · 132 L | -12.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x685e…9be7backed NIP | 68c | 180$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed NIP | 63c | 178.57$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.07 | 334 | 48.2%161 W · 173 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Alliance | 34c | 172$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.32 | 540 | 32.4%175 W · 365 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Alliance | 36c | 156.83$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.07 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0b…7cccbacked NIP | 68c | 154.7$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.06 | 454 | 50.2%228 W · 226 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d30…04c0backed Alliance | 35c | 146$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d1…f540backed Alliance | 35c | 144.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.49 | 178 | 49.4%88 W · 90 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…6df7backed NIP | 65c | 143.51$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.6 | 217 | 23%50 W · 167 L | -35.4wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Alliance | 9c | 141.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b12…d388backed NIP | 68c | 141$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked NIP | 66c | 140.24$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.88 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eab…1c1dbacked Alliance | 34c | 135.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed NIP | 64c | 130$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.45 | 402 | 47.8%192 W · 210 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfc…6340backed NIP | 68c | 130$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -51%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Alliance | 34c | 127.21$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.67 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3622…2adabacked NIP | 68c | 125$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cd6…ff34backed Alliance | 27c | 113.01$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.48 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed NIP | 63c | 108.7$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.22 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Alliance | 24c | 108.17$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.82 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Alliance | 19c | 107$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.17 | 497 | 45.9%228 W · 269 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaac7…0dcbbacked NIP | 68c | 106$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4c…dc70backed Alliance | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 116 | 51.7%60 W · 56 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed NIP | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.4 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Alliance | 30c | 92.08$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.62 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2664…e655backed NIP | 68c | 91$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…0b73backed NIP | 63c | 90.21$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.38 | 171 | 53.2%91 W · 80 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked NIP | 66c | 89.39$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.39 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Alliance | 37c | 79.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.59 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e17…3f5dbacked NIP | 68c | 77$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.64 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Alliance | 34c | 76.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 468 | 43.4%203 W · 265 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d1f…a252backed Alliance | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Alliance | 18c | 72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 463 | 44.5%206 W · 257 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Alliance | 18c | 71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 292 | 44.5%130 W · 162 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce6…9f9bbacked NIP | 66c | 70$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5271…0f95backed Alliance | 34c | 69$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed NIP | 65c | 66.8$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.59 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…8d42backed NIP | 68c | 56$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86d0…d78cbacked Alliance | 35c | 56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Alliance | 19c | 53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 274 | 43.1%118 W · 156 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Alliance | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…51fdbacked Alliance | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Alliance | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf85d…371abacked NIP | 66c | 48$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…888fbacked NIP | 65c | 47$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd3…aec8backed Alliance | 36c | 43.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x051a…83ccbacked Alliance | 35c | 42.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…222bbacked NIP | 66c | 41$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.89 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked NIP | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 192 | 52.1%100 W · 92 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Alliance | 32c | 39.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x642b…0ee0backed NIP | 65c | 39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed NIP | 64c | 37.95$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.66 | 177 | 45.8%81 W · 96 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Alliance | 35c | 33.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 456 | 39.3%179 W · 277 L | -29.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4a…7045backed Alliance | 36c | 33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7cdd…a34cbacked NIP | 68c | 33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked NIP | 63c | 32.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.94 | 87 | 59.8%52 W · 35 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d16…0abbbacked NIP | 80c | 30.27$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Alliance | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked NIP | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1e…bca3backed Alliance | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba1…3990backed NIP | 66c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 71cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs Alliance (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs Alliance - Map 1 WinnerNIP won
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs Alliance - Map 2 WinnerNIP won
- Map Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs Alliance (+1.5)NIP won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.