Serie A · resolved market
Will Lecce win on 2025-11-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb935ca0e3e462a7ddbf9ac1cf102245090bcbe6d8bc3ab8c293431bb3a1c37c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,544
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,745
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,544 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 64c | 15,710$10,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,618.32 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Yes | 36c | 13,888$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.68 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Yes | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -4.8wins | -0.14per pick | 25cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 249 | 39.4%98 W · 151 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…8795backed Yes | 35c | 460.33$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +87%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 37c | 441.05$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.31 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 34c | 351.17$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.43 | 161 | 54%87 W · 74 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 64c | 338.23$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.17 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 69c | 335.88$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.7 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 63c | 331.22$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.55 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 31c | 325.12$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.87 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 13c | 250$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 200 | 33%66 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 36c | 236.92$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.29 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked No | 64c | 202.78$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 64c | 192.11$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.24 | 285 | 56.1%160 W · 125 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 68c | 182.26$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.05 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Yes | 33c | 175.51$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.56 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1822…0e6abacked Yes | 34c | 149.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…b782backed No | 66c | 128.79$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.79 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24b8…6a66backed Yes | 34c | 100.83$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…425dbacked Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…ce2abacked No | 67c | 80.54$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.62 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…fbc9backed Yes | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf64…92bdbacked Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 34c | 59.86$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 419 | 43.9%184 W · 235 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x406c…bdc6backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e2c…e2fdbacked Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +83.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…a80dbacked Yes | 33c | 55.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55f7…23a3backed Yes | 31c | 55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 136 | 58.8%80 W · 56 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 65c | 46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 284 | 58.1%165 W · 119 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05c2…57d4backed Yes | 35c | 44.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed No | 64c | 37$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 141 | 55.3%78 W · 63 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 64c | 37$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | +11.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4f…8921backed Yes | 36c | 28.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 65c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 66c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 65c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 101 | 63.4%64 W · 37 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9056…cc00backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lecce win on 2025-11-08?this page
- Will Lecce vs. Verona end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Verona win on 2025-11-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.