Serie A · resolved market
Will Lecce vs. Verona end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ffa3546708481fb443203874d134d1b0b1e46e5f4af184ed536f4618dff9f8e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,716
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,989
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,716 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 33c | 4,760$1,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,184.38 | 161 | 54%87 W · 74 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 40c | 2,181$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,303.92 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked No | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.95 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50f4…acb1backed No | 67c | 1,642$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf19…3f61backed No | 67c | 1,269$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 39c | 1,143$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.59 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…b782backed No | 68c | 1,029$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 23c | 1,011$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 200 | 33%66 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 77c | 1,011$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed No | 43c | 935.53$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 67c | 884$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.28 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fc…4f2bbacked No | 67c | 805.97$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b33…aeedbacked No | 67c | 182.08$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 153 | 57.5%88 W · 65 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68ce…374ebacked No | 67c | 162.68$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d51…409bbacked Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 35c | 137$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.45 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.29 | 267 | 44.6%119 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb78d…1d48backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x154c…658ebacked Yes | 36c | 97.55$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.27 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…3e9fbacked Yes | 33c | 61.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.3 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.44per pick | 27cpaid | +121.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x55f7…23a3backed No | 56c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26ab…41c1backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +5.4wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Yes | 35c | 45.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.89 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +98.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…fbc9backed Yes | 35c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd611…63fcbacked No | 67c | 32.76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee71…9204backed Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…bdbdbacked Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Yes | 43c | 23.42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefb2…b043backed No | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 69cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 79c | 18.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lecce vs. Verona end in a draw?this page
- Will Lecce win on 2025-11-08?No won
- Will Verona win on 2025-11-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.