CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5cf15592ae251d4df0a08e65f8ef2e0cf776939284ee8ae31eaabcfd711ec204
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,936
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,157
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,936 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 71c | 6,603$4,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,931.49 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0e…1f6cbacked Over | 31c | 6,424$1,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,996.62 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bd…5f54backed Over | 14c | 816.5$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26a0…9fcdbacked Over | 34c | 400$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5e…269bbacked Over | 20c | 400$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 420 | 50%210 W · 210 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Over | 30c | 262$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.1 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x313d…6f98backed Under | 66c | 247$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.81 | 300 | 62.3%187 W · 113 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…ca9dbacked Over | 25c | 220$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -6.0wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Under | 69c | 218.69$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.04 | 61 | 29.5%18 W · 43 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed Under | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked Under | 72c | 193.99$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.32 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…2b0cbacked Over | 18c | 131.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…a742backed Under | 80c | 75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 169 | 50.9%86 W · 83 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Under | 77c | 68.42$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 202 | 43.6%88 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e94…85e6backed Under | 77c | 64.69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.69 | 79 | 69.6%55 W · 24 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…3128backed Under | 73c | 60.5$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ce…001ebacked Under | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 74c | 39.14$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1512…68f3backed Under | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 291 | 53.6%156 W · 135 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…d47dbacked Under | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 608 | 57.2%348 W · 260 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd68d…1f62backed Under | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf48c…e4dabacked Under | 72c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…7fc9backed Under | 78c | 15.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.24 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty QualifierSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Spirit - Map 1 WinnerSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Spirit - Map 2 WinnerSpirit won
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Inner Circle Esports (+1.5)Spirit won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.