CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d73fdc29a6648e43c5239cd35b72b8000b8ce962a805213699be0dc1930a19d

Rebuilt 21 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Spiritof Inner Circle Esports, Spirit
Resolved: Jan 18, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $169,827
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $173,845

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $169,827 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked Inner Circle Esports	7c	50,000$3,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,499.99	424	40.3%171 W · 253 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Inner Circle Esports	8c	18,111$1,449 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,448.88	836	52.5%439 W · 397 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa643…d43dbacked Inner Circle Esports	9c	12,147$1,079 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,078.53	27	33.3%9 W · 18 L	+1.3wins	+0.05per pick	28cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Inner Circle Esports	8c	10,000$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$799.99	716	45.9%329 W · 387 L	-3.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed Inner Circle Esports	9c	4,500$420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$420	508	33.5%170 W · 338 L	+14.2wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4636…e0c7backed Inner Circle Esports	9c	3,333$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc192…086cbacked Inner Circle Esports	9c	3,260$293 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$293.41	275	30.9%85 W · 190 L	-18.6wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e083backed Inner Circle Esports	3c	2,900$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.3	78	28.2%22 W · 56 L	-7.0wins	-0.09per pick	37cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5836…4d03backed Inner Circle Esports	8c	2,455$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.44	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	+11%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Inner Circle Esports	9c	2,000$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170	1,259	42.5%535 W · 724 L	+20.6wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7daf…0ec8backed Inner Circle Esports	6c	1,650$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99	20	55%11 W · 9 L	+1.7wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+19%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed Inner Circle Esports	9c	1,530$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.7	537	46.2%248 W · 289 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc598…b4acbacked Inner Circle Esports	9c	1,500$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135	62	37.1%23 W · 39 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaee7…1e5bbacked Inner Circle Esports	10c	1,500$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	341	47.5%162 W · 179 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Inner Circle Esports	8c	1,188$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95	205	39.5%81 W · 124 L	+3.6wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7509…23afbacked Inner Circle Esports	3c	1,100$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.47	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-2.5wins	-0.13per pick	50cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd13e…ca33backed Inner Circle Esports	7c	1,100$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73	98	26.5%26 W · 72 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x919d…60e1backed Inner Circle Esports	8c	1,000$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	76	53.9%41 W · 35 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5565…7693backed Inner Circle Esports	8c	999.99$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85	36	36.1%13 W · 23 L	+2.3wins	+0.06per pick	30cpaid	+18.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Inner Circle Esports	7c	999.99$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	1,081	50.9%550 W · 531 L	+37.9wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5019…74cdbacked Inner Circle Esports	10c	999.97$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	116	30.2%35 W · 81 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x12a1…4e4dbacked Inner Circle Esports	2c	902.81$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	49	36.7%18 W · 31 L	-2.9wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Inner Circle Esports	9c	888$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.92	167	50.9%85 W · 82 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2930…4cf8backed Inner Circle Esports	2c	888$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.32	157	43.3%68 W · 89 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x64a8…7bc3backed Inner Circle Esports	12c	833.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	204	62.7%128 W · 76 L	-9.0wins	-0.04per pick	67cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Inner Circle Esports	8c	800$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64	259	41.3%107 W · 152 L	+6.2wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cd1…6b8ebacked Inner Circle Esports	9c	735$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.15	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.09per pick	54cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Inner Circle Esports	9c	650.72$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.77	84	36.9%31 W · 53 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Inner Circle Esports	6c	610$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.6	329	30.4%100 W · 229 L	-21.9wins	-0.07per pick	37cpaid	-50.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xba05…f8c0backed Inner Circle Esports	9c	500.05$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.98	972	30%292 W · 680 L	-23.7wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-12%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4e2…0f82backed Inner Circle Esports	10c	500$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	47	34%16 W · 31 L	-3.3wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbcaf…9343backed Inner Circle Esports	5c	500$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.19per pick	31cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb70c…41d5backed Inner Circle Esports	8c	500$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	342	35.4%121 W · 221 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30a0…a458backed Inner Circle Esports	5c	471.86$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.87	63	33.3%21 W · 42 L	+2.9wins	+0.05per pick	29cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0969…b289backed Inner Circle Esports	8c	449.38$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.95	192	47.9%92 W · 100 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x213c…f9c0backed Inner Circle Esports	3c	434.28$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.6	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd1a9…e80cbacked Inner Circle Esports	6c	399.99$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Inner Circle Esports	9c	324.73$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.23	1,611	45.4%731 W · 880 L	+30.0wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x626f…cdfabacked Inner Circle Esports	9c	300$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	319	33.5%107 W · 212 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x40ba…7ea5backed Inner Circle Esports	10c	300$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	420	57.6%242 W · 178 L	+19.3wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Inner Circle Esports	11c	281$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.52	1,040	44%458 W · 582 L	-22.2wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac0c…739cbacked Inner Circle Esports	9c	250$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.5	660	34.1%225 W · 435 L	-21.3wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Inner Circle Esports	10c	200$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1,181	22.5%266 W · 915 L	+3.6wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3748…85d4backed Inner Circle Esports	10c	192$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.2	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Inner Circle Esports	7c	190$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.84	303	35.6%108 W · 195 L	-13.3wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e2f…35efbacked Inner Circle Esports	11c	175$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Inner Circle Esports	8c	162$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.96	392	39.8%156 W · 236 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Inner Circle Esports	8c	148$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.84	601	47.4%285 W · 316 L	+9.0wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cb4…f28cbacked Inner Circle Esports	12c	125.71$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.16per pick	9cpaid	+47.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x47ba…a503backed Inner Circle Esports	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.15per pick	35cpaid	-63%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x85f7…fb66backed Inner Circle Esports	9c	124.78$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.23	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f17…2612backed Inner Circle Esports	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	20	20%4 W · 16 L	-1.4wins	-0.07per pick	27cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2553…59f7backed Inner Circle Esports	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.15per pick	40cpaid	-56.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierthis page
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Spirit - Map 1 WinnerSpirit won
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Spirit - Map 2 WinnerSpirit won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Inner Circle Esports (+1.5)Spirit won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event