Tennis · resolved market
Tigre 2: Juan Estevez vs Carlos Sanchez Jover
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d47ab9902bb5a785a51f8ea49a6a462577e22d343969892520f9eca0b2619f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Joverof Estevez, Jover
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,061
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,603
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,061 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x969b…db70backed Estevez | 0c | 13,576$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 42 | 0%0 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed Jover | 56c | 3,542$1,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,558.48 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Estevez | 43c | 1,267$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.96 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Estevez | 9c | 1,133$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.13 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Jover | 60c | 1,027$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.31 | 1,980 | 46.2%915 W · 1,065 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Estevez | 40c | 872$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.8 | 1,029 | 33.5%345 W · 684 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Jover | 61c | 814.88$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.56 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Jover | 64c | 784.41$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.41 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Estevez | 26c | 763.76$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.96 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Jover | 59c | 737.56$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.72 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcf…75c6backed Estevez | 16c | 663.79$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89fd…da5dbacked Estevez | 44c | 621.67$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.53 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Estevez | 22c | 561.89$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.57 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Estevez | 4c | 482.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Jover | 63c | 373.56$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.76 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Estevez | 37c | 351.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.24 | 2,043 | 47.8%977 W · 1,066 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Jover | 58c | 289.05$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.58 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Jover | 60c | 272$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.71 | 4,650 | 48.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Estevez | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Estevez | 41c | 256.94$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.78 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…4167backed Jover | 63c | 231.13$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.52 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Jover | 60c | 220.87$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.58 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Jover | 71c | 158$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.94 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Jover | 66c | 156.71$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.78 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Estevez | 41c | 147.84$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.16 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Estevez | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 275 | 39.6%109 W · 166 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69a6…4b30backed Estevez | 42c | 121.2$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.9 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…610cbacked Estevez | 39c | 113.31$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.19 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -4.3wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Jover | 59c | 110$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.1 | 992 | 55.9%555 W · 437 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Estevez | 41c | 106.17$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.53 | 4,082 | 39.7%1,622 W · 2,460 L | +93.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Jover | 63c | 100.73$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.29 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Estevez | 38c | 94$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.14 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Estevez | 38c | 81.94$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.14 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Estevez | 39c | 80.69$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.38 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6135…efa0backed Jover | 58c | 67$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.14 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Jover | 59c | 59.74$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.49 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…d934backed Jover | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Jover | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 1,456 | 45.1%656 W · 800 L | +42.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Estevez | 27c | 54.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Estevez | 46c | 52.28$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 163 | 58.9%96 W · 67 L | +12.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Jover | 48c | 50.03$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 470 | 57.2%269 W · 201 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59d0…a871backed Estevez | 38c | 47.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Estevez | 42c | 46.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 375 | 49.1%184 W · 191 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Jover | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed57…83f4backed Jover | 58c | 34.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.49 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Jover | 57c | 34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 976 | 44.6%435 W · 541 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb0…4c2dbacked Jover | 58c | 28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Estevez | 39c | 26.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 317 | 53.6%170 W · 147 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Jover | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 245 | 63.3%155 W · 90 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed Jover | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 238 | 65.5%156 W · 82 L | +31.3wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +20%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Jover | 57c | 19.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 275 | 46.5%128 W · 147 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.