Lol · resolved market
LoL: BOMBA Team vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe653631f7e33e95dcf5f2682eceaae73c5df17942bc1e83ca337ad9925a8f6b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eintracht Spandauof BOMBA Team, Eintracht Spandau
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,893
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,893 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x910d…cfc0backed Eintracht Spandau | 77c | 8,351$6,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,896.43 | 184 | 51.6%95 W · 89 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…af18backed BOMBA Team | 6c | 4,663$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.19 | 377 | 5.6%21 W · 356 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed BOMBA Team | 21c | 1,546$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.66 | 180 | 41.7%75 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked BOMBA Team | 16c | 1,350$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.36 | 2,336 | 40.4%943 W · 1,393 L | -58.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a46…ab25backed BOMBA Team | 32c | 1,263$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.47 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked BOMBA Team | 15c | 1,227$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.21 | 2,820 | 41.4%1,167 W · 1,653 L | -14.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed BOMBA Team | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 635 | 46.6%296 W · 339 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed BOMBA Team | 15c | 933.33$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 186 | 33.3%62 W · 124 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Eintracht Spandau | 77c | 651.18$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.18 | 81 | 65.4%53 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed BOMBA Team | 22c | 585.32$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.7 | 392 | 46.4%182 W · 210 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed BOMBA Team | 29c | 558.77$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.22 | 2,903 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,784 L | -117.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed BOMBA Team | 14c | 555.64$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.48 | 3,119 | 33.7%1,052 W · 2,067 L | -151.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc33…aa3ebacked BOMBA Team | 11c | 457.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 402 | 37.8%152 W · 250 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed BOMBA Team | 26c | 449.69$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.43 | 2,490 | 47.3%1,179 W · 1,311 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d4c…935ebacked BOMBA Team | 18c | 261$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.56 | 134 | 33.6%45 W · 89 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4a…cf21backed Eintracht Spandau | 61c | 239.21$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0f…1fbabacked BOMBA Team | 10c | 150.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed BOMBA Team | 31c | 150$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked BOMBA Team | 41c | 150$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 205 | 50.2%103 W · 102 L | +15.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…07b2backed BOMBA Team | 9c | 128.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e1…d473backed BOMBA Team | 39c | 123.66$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc455…8640backed BOMBA Team | 39c | 115.55$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed BOMBA Team | 32c | 105.94$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.9 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed BOMBA Team | 32c | 81.25$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1,241 | 52.7%654 W · 587 L | +5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf26b…f3b8backed BOMBA Team | 32c | 64.47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.63 | 289 | 23.5%68 W · 221 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed BOMBA Team | 32c | 59.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed BOMBA Team | 44c | 53.77$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.64 | 1,270 | 57%724 W · 546 L | +45.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebc7…4003backed Eintracht Spandau | 63c | 44.14$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.28 | 283 | 61.5%174 W · 109 L | +18.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc51f…e115backed Eintracht Spandau | 65c | 36.45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 116 | 65.5%76 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked BOMBA Team | 30c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2,672 | 35.7%954 W · 1,718 L | -153.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1892…b299backed BOMBA Team | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Eintracht Spandau | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f7…7eadbacked Eintracht Spandau | 66c | 22.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 188 | 46.3%87 W · 101 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff0b…befabacked Eintracht Spandau | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: BOMBA Team vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- LoL: BOMBA Team vs Eintracht Spandau (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group HEintracht Spandau won
- LoL: BOMBA Team vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 2 WinnerEintracht Spandau won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.