TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Prairie View A&M Panthers vs. Alabama A&M Bulldogs: O/U 142.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,478

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,478 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3e9…a60cbacked Over49c4,028$1,987 inLost-$1,986.781656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+20.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Under45c1,500$680 inWon+$82049746.5%231 W · 266 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under57c991.4$560 inWon+$431.2639454.6%215 W · 179 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under54c703.47$383 inWon+$320.812,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Under54c368.18$198 inWon+$169.9131448.7%153 W · 161 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under55c225.75$124 inWon+$102.172,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under50c205.36$102 inWon+$10393941.6%391 W · 548 L+25.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Under56c178.57$100 inWon+$78.5782846.1%382 W · 446 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under55c148.7$82 inWon+$66.921,16255.2%641 W · 521 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over44c126$55 inLost-$55.4491848.9%449 W · 469 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under57c107.07$61 inWon+$46.0178052.2%407 W · 373 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under48c104.16$50 inWon+$54.164,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under50c100$50 inWon+$5089146.2%412 W · 479 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe49b…adf9backed Over45c99.13$45 inLost-$44.611346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick38cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Over47c84.36$40 inLost-$39.6517551.4%90 W · 85 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over38c79.88$30 inLost-$30.1260551.4%311 W · 294 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe624…2928backed Over52c58$30 inLost-$30.1640849.8%203 W · 205 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Under48c57.49$28 inWon+$29.975447.1%355 W · 399 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0dd6…7c6fbacked Under57c44.77$25 inWon+$19.33450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Over43c40$17 inLost-$17.271655.3%396 W · 320 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff0b…befabacked Over48c30.98$15 inLost-$14.8710244.1%45 W · 57 L-8.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-22.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under80c25.85$21 inWon+$5.1735852%186 W · 172 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc798…a8e9backed Over47c22.08$10 inLost-$10.385954.2%32 W · 27 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.