Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. LSU Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5533b22dbc13817982f1575d6040655efa17cda512ebc974fcf34506bf7b78bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alabama Crimson Tideof Alabama Crimson Tide, LSU Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,168
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,877
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,168 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked LSU Tigers | 9c | 4,782$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.06 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 75c | 2,916$2,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.97 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked LSU Tigers | 25c | 2,841$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.25 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed LSU Tigers | 6c | 2,741$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.52 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 75c | 1,964$1,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.47 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked LSU Tigers | 1c | 1,781$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.73 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed LSU Tigers | 3c | 1,768$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.11 | 136 | 3.7%5 W · 131 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked LSU Tigers | 27c | 1,678$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked LSU Tigers | 17c | 1,466$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.47 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 76c | 1,436$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.06 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked LSU Tigers | 26c | 1,215$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.44 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 76c | 1,030$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.66 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 73c | 1,006$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.94 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed LSU Tigers | 2c | 808.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked LSU Tigers | 26c | 797$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.37 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed LSU Tigers | 33c | 723.21$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.56 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed LSU Tigers | 24c | 641.56$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.97 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5c…a5debacked LSU Tigers | 26c | 500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 106 | 22.6%24 W · 82 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked LSU Tigers | 26c | 462.36$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.84 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee76…e67abacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 77c | 454.55$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.55 | 113 | 62.8%71 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 74c | 344.77$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.22 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 73c | 342.81$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.56 | 123 | 64.2%79 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed LSU Tigers | 24c | 303$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.72 | 247 | 37.7%93 W · 154 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6507…6e4fbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 71c | 300$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked LSU Tigers | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed LSU Tigers | 5c | 300$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 74c | 265.14$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.11 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 73c | 241.32$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.16 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked LSU Tigers | 23c | 207.81$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.8 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed LSU Tigers | 21c | 200.3$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.58 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked LSU Tigers | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked LSU Tigers | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked LSU Tigers | 28c | 200$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed LSU Tigers | 25c | 189.9$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.48 | 267 | 40.8%109 W · 158 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed LSU Tigers | 22c | 173.8$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.92 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked LSU Tigers | 23c | 157.2$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.15 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76ca…6a3abacked LSU Tigers | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 76c | 132$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 415 | 54.2%225 W · 190 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed LSU Tigers | 18c | 130.34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked LSU Tigers | 23c | 105.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed LSU Tigers | 14c | 105.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 176 | 27.8%49 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 79c | 103$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.93 | 397 | 42.8%170 W · 227 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf926…fb21backed LSU Tigers | 30c | 85$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed LSU Tigers | 25c | 69.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed LSU Tigers | 24c | 69.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed LSU Tigers | 22c | 67.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4a26…7189backed LSU Tigers | 20c | 66.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 523 | 53.5%280 W · 243 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c9…cf27backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 72c | 53.42$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 144 | 61.8%89 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4111…4874backed LSU Tigers | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25ed…3e98backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 136 | 50.7%69 W · 67 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 76c | 33.65$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 430 | 53.3%229 W · 201 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6212…4eb3backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac3f…1966backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 74c | 21.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.59 | 251 | 52.6%132 W · 119 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac79…ff6cbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 75c | 18.97$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 211 | 52.1%110 W · 101 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1e…21a1backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 77c | 15.59$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.59 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a8…2d58backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 70c | 14.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91f5…ce27backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 73c | 13.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Alabama Crimson Tide vs. LSU Tigersthis page
- Alabama Crimson Tide vs. LSU Tigers: O/U 172.5Over won
- Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-7.5)LSU Tigers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.