Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec74cedc9b6dd39fd41296b14d7259c4939954ba6598de78888eceb78871a72c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LSU Tigersof Alabama Crimson Tide, LSU Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,423
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,283
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,423 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7b47…d615backed LSU Tigers | 52c | 19,768$10,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,574.17 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 51c | 14,960$7,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,663.5 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 48c | 9,913$4,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,802.54 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked LSU Tigers | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 47c | 3,978$1,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,869.67 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed LSU Tigers | 49c | 3,000$1,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,537.49 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked LSU Tigers | 53c | 2,010$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.62 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 49c | 654.94$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.44 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8461…c6e4backed LSU Tigers | 54c | 641.56$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.61 | 182 | 45.1%82 W · 100 L | -15.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 47c | 594.77$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.54 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 46c | 520.05$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.22 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed LSU Tigers | 50c | 392.54$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.27 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x345d…4e41backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 52c | 262.62$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.93 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed LSU Tigers | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed LSU Tigers | 49c | 190.77$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.29 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 52c | 189.35$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 49c | 188.48$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.58 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 45c | 173.33$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed LSU Tigers | 50c | 99.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.56 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 50c | 99.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 383 | 51.7%198 W · 185 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed LSU Tigers | 50c | 88.22$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.11 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae9a…7ceabacked LSU Tigers | 51c | 84.37$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.34 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 51c | 59.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.39 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 45c | 57.68$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed LSU Tigers | 55c | 52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 45c | 51.55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked LSU Tigers | 53c | 48.63$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.86 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 51c | 40.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed LSU Tigers | 50c | 38.88$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ffa…1e06backed LSU Tigers | 51c | 38.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.05 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked LSU Tigers | 54c | 37.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.47 | 248 | 57.3%142 W · 106 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 45c | 31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-7.5)this page
- Alabama Crimson Tide vs. LSU TigersAlabama Crimson Tide won
- Alabama Crimson Tide vs. LSU Tigers: O/U 172.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.