Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Wyoming Cowboys
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04e999236eb2b021b76c74358abe10d47194ddabb490054625de3a5ad78b0404
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wyoming Cowboysof Nevada Wolf Pack, Wyoming Cowboys
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,579
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,226
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,579 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 46c | 4,508$2,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,053.05 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Wyoming Cowboys | 62c | 3,668$2,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,396.67 | 318 | 37.7%120 W · 198 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 1c | 2,757$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.17 | 241 | 21.2%51 W · 190 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +299%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Wyoming Cowboys | 60c | 2,497$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.4 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 4c | 2,310$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.31 | 253 | 25.3%64 W · 189 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 6c | 1,725$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.64 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 5c | 1,382$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.71 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Wyoming Cowboys | 58c | 1,270$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.38 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 52c | 1,021$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.8 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Wyoming Cowboys | 49c | 1,013$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.22 | 351 | 51.9%182 W · 169 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 51c | 990.59$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.08 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 10c | 782.15$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.56 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 32c | 654.44$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.94 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 32c | 356.61$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.18 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Wyoming Cowboys | 78c | 351.15$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.59 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Wyoming Cowboys | 49c | 344.05$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.54 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 53c | 296.58$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.19 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Wyoming Cowboys | 47c | 294.47$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.07 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 53c | 215.09$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Wyoming Cowboys | 47c | 186.99$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.11 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed Wyoming Cowboys | 50c | 146.09$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.28 | 491 | 57.2%281 W · 210 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 50c | 138.38$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.19 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 41c | 120.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.58 | 322 | 46.6%150 W · 172 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 47c | 116.78$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.31 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 18c | 100.81$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe516…14ffbacked Wyoming Cowboys | 55c | 90.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.55 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25ed…3e98backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 20c | 85.16$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 136 | 50.7%69 W · 67 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Wyoming Cowboys | 57c | 78.28$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.27 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf926…fb21backed Wyoming Cowboys | 50c | 75.34$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.67 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc14d…f8b4backed Wyoming Cowboys | 50c | 59.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.74 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd046…c496backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 52c | 57.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 100 | 34%34 W · 66 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Wyoming Cowboys | 49c | 51.55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.11 | 208 | 34.6%72 W · 136 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa7…089dbacked Wyoming Cowboys | 48c | 38.1$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.81 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 40c | 37.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Wyoming Cowboys | 48c | 31.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 334 | 45.8%153 W · 181 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf58…711fbacked Wyoming Cowboys | 51c | 23.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.71 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 45c | 23.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Wyoming Cowboys | 49c | 20.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb02…0f88backed Wyoming Cowboys | 53c | 19.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Wyoming Cowboysthis page
- Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Wyoming Cowboys: O/U 142.5Over won
- Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Wyoming Cowboys: O/U 143.5Over won
- Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Wyoming Cowboys: O/U 144.5Over won
- Spread: Nevada Wolf Pack (-1.5)Wyoming Cowboys won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.