Tennis · resolved market
Oeiras 2: Matilde Jorge vs Francisca Jorge
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8eb708a21b8518ca7905fff367c7c907e58b69e9093097cb39d5e344fcdfee92
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jorgeof Jorge, Jorge
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,147
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,231
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,147 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd414…a4dbbacked Jorge | 0c | 5,413$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…8087backed Jorge | 1c | 2,802$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Jorge | 71c | 1,610$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.39 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Jorge | 38c | 1,464$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.54 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Jorge | 28c | 1,200$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.14 | 470 | 57.2%269 W · 201 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82cf…0998backed Jorge | 70c | 1,002$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda32…04a1backed Jorge | 49c | 754$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Jorge | 19c | 541.54$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.92 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Jorge | 20c | 473.28$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.66 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Jorge | 33c | 458.94$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.8 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Jorge | 34c | 394.38$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.86 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Jorge | 70c | 339.77$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.18 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Jorge | 11c | 233.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 678 | 36%244 W · 434 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Jorge | 6c | 214.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 37 | 13.5%5 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x106d…ccefbacked Jorge | 40c | 181.36$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x903a…bb6fbacked Jorge | 67c | 167.67$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Jorge | 34c | 133.77$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.91 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa95c…1b63backed Jorge | 38c | 94.74$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Jorge | 63c | 82.54$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.54 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Jorge | 23c | 78.89$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 619 | 53.3%330 W · 289 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Jorge | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…3264backed Jorge | 38c | 68.77$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Jorge | 33c | 68$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Jorge | 78c | 68$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49b9…9613backed Jorge | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 126 | 64.3%81 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Jorge | 33c | 38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf926…fb21backed Jorge | 37c | 37.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1078…b0a2backed Jorge | 63c | 36.51$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Jorge | 39c | 28.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 421 | 41.8%176 W · 245 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Jorge | 64c | 28.19$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.18 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Jorge | 60c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4324…1390backed Jorge | 56c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed Jorge | 77c | 15.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.58 | 43 | 74.4%32 W · 11 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08c1…7fbebacked Jorge | 78c | 14.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.28 | 282 | 47.9%135 W · 147 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Oeiras 2: Matilde Jorge vs Francisca Jorgethis page
- Jorge vs. Jorge: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
- Jorge vs. Jorge: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Jorge vs JorgeJorge won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.